Most people on this board (and I include myself here) are positive on Tesla the company and its car. However, contrary to many here, I am not as positive on TSLA, the stock. In fact, I just gave a short order on the stock. However, I must admit I am not very confident in my decision and I am going to monitor it quite closely to close it quickly if losses become to big. My main motivation to take this position right now is that the next significant milestone for Tesla is the introduction of the Model S in Europe. However, I don't think it will be as well received in the European market as in the US. In my opinion there are several reasons :
- Europe is behind in the economic cycle, leaving consumers with less confidence in purchasing big ticket items.
- The larger size of the Model S makes it a less attractive car for the European market
- A lack of supercharger network leaves a main issue on the table. This is especially problematic for European households that generally have fewer cars, meaning they do not have an alternative gas guzzler for the occasional longer road trip
- Tax incentives are not as generous in many parts of Europe as they are in the US
- No zero emission credits for cars sold outside of the US states with that particular system
- In many European markets, especially Germany, electricity is relatively even more expensive than petrol
- The always online approach as part of the car experience is more difficult/expensive to realize in a fractured telecom market with high roaming charges
- A few larger markets (Germany/Italy/France) have not seen a lot of reservation activity