Hmmm. Even having my X I can't seem to stop reading this thread.
Scanning the posts of some still waiting, there appears to be an enduring theme:
Tesla is screwing with me. They're lying. They don't want to give me my car.
Let's break it down a bit.
What is Tesla in business to do?
Design, make and sell EVs. If they don't sell said EVs they're toast, out of business, bankwupt.
Who are you?
A wannabe customer eager to hand them ~$100k for a Model X.
Does it make sense for Tesla to string you along just for the heck of it?
Nope, zero sense. The sooner you get your car the sooner they get their $100k.
Then why won't Tesla give me my X?
We've been through this ad infinitum. That Tesla was late starting production is no surprise; it's in the company's DNA. The causes? The CEO's glass half full attitude concerning designing new vehicles, building production capacity, getting the assembly line up and running, and, of late, and a new one, supply chain issues. Look at the company's history. The original Model S was late. The original Model X was late. The M3 ramp up was late and almost killed the company. They Y went better. Now the S/X refresh has run into the same thing. We don't tag the intro/production announcements "Elon Time" for nothing.
That Tesla SA lied to me!
No one argues Tesla is more secretive than it should be, even with its own employees. But if you step back, you can see why. Starting in the mid teens, big oil, legacy auto and their sycophants came after Tesla big time. Take car fires as an example. In the late 1980s, ICE car fires averaged 430-450k annually. The number started to fall coming in at 173k in 2020, but that's still a lot. Are ICE car fires front page news? Nope, but let a Tesla battery pack catch fire and see what happens. Tesla battery packs rarely catch fire, but that doesn't matter. It's the same with production delays. Right now at this moment, legacy auto struggles to produce 50k EVs annually per OEM. Tesla made 936k in 2021. Early production troubles with the Model 3 was constant fodder for hammering Tesla in 2017-2018. Tesla's secrecy about what is going on behind the scenes is not excusable, but understandable given the company's history. They should tell their SAs more, they should be more forthright with customers, all true, but if they are 100% honest — we ain't got no rubber trim for the doors right now— they will get hammered by a long list of enemies, the proverbial stuck between a rock and a hard place. Doesn't make it any easier for you guys waiting in line, but the reason behind it is, again, understandable.
I don't care about that stuff! I want my X
. So do the 1 million waiting for their Cybertruck, the 100k or so waiting for the new roadster, the trucking companies waiting for the Tesla Semi. Despite the rosy scenarios consistently blowing up in Elon's face, Tesla always comes through in the end. The S debuted in 2012 and blew the industry away. The 2016 X caused jaws to drop. The M3 quickly became the first mass market EV. The Y is taking off at the angle of a SpaceX rocket. The Refreshed X/S are showing up all across America. I saw 2 yesterday going to the grocery store, a 1.6 mile trek.
I still don't like the (*&^^*^% delay!!
Who does? Tesla will make somewhere around 1.5 million EVs this year. Ford will be lucky to churn out 50k Mustang Mach-Es. The same for all the rest of the auto industry excepting a couple of Chinese companies. The truth is EVs have hit the inflection point, meaning they've now passed the innovation adoption phase and are well into the early adapter phase headed toward the early mainstream buyer. Several years ago, Musk warned the world would need a whole lot more batteries, much much more. When it comes to new tech, Elon is almost always right. Politics? Not so much, but when he sticks to his lane he's a freaking genius. The cold hard fact is demands is outstripping supply. Tesla is ramping up as quickly as it can, but demand is exploding.
A friend told me this story today: A friend's ICE pickup died. He had good credit, was going to pay most of the purchase cost himself, but still needed a portion financed. The bank turned him down. He didn't understand it, his credit score is good, he qualified. He finally got an answer through someone he knew at the bank. This particular bank, in rural Georgia, doesn't want to finance any more gas and diesel vehicles. If this guy would buy an EV his credit application would sail through. His problem is he can't wait, he needs a new truck now to continue to earn a living. The problem is there aren't any to be had immediately. The Cybertruck is backordered through 2025. GM and Ford are showing off fancy new EVs, but are sold out on the meager number they can make through the end of 2022. Rivian has a long waiting list. We're at the supply meeting demand bottleneck. Even banks see it, this one, at least, is unwilling to finance an ICE pickup because they think its value won't hold up. Unimaginable even 2 years ago.
What does that have to do with Tesla? The MX is not new at all, so they updated it some. Is that so hard?
Not normally. But I think we're going to find out that orders exploded beyond Tesla's or anyone else's expectations. My guess is Tesla will sooner rather than later have to open a new line that the S and X don't share. The disruption of legacy auto is happening that fast.
Blah, blah, blah. I've waited a year.
Lots of folks are going to be waiting. That's what happens when a new technology replaces an obsolete one. Just the way it works. Tesla's self interest is in getting you your X. The obstacle is there are a lot of you's out there.