Swedish problems
Swedish government crisis as PM threatens to resign amidst controversial NATO negotiations with Turkey
@HKaaman: 🧵Swedish government crisis as PM threatens to resign amidst controversial NATO negotiations with Turkey The Sweden Democrats (SD) just submitted a motion of no confidence against the Social Democrat (S) Min...…
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Estonian problems
Estonian Prime Minister
Kai Kallas dismissed 7 ministers of the coalition government,
stating that they acted against the values of the country, and the government fell.
news.birincihaber.com.tr
Not good. Some of it might be Russians stirring the pot, but some of it might just be normal politics. Hard to tell exactly. Russian agitation is still going on throughout the world, but it does seem weaker than it once did. Before the agitators were able to cast Russia as a peaceful country that was misunderstood, but now most of the developed world considers them to be the next incarnation of Nazi Germany.
Izium weakness, Russian that is
The Russian 35th army, transferred from Far East and stationed in Izyum, is successfully destroyed by its own army command as evidenced from this full of irony and snark report received and shared by a Russian livejournal blogger. It tells us about an acute lack of manpower, communications...
wartranslated.com
Interesting site. You posted earlier from ISW that the 35th Army was in bad shape.
The Canadian volunteer (not the most reliable source) reports that in the Donbas Russians were ordered to advance into heavy Ukrainian resistance, the troops refused, then the general decided to personally lead the advance and got killed along with anyone who went with him.
120 x 155mm SPG for Ukraine, 50 from Belgium and 50 from Poland. Very quickly Ukraine is beginning to field a NATO army.
As media informs, FTS company from Belgian sells to Ukraine second-hand M109A4BE 155 mm howitzers
en.defence-ua.com
Ukraine will purchase about 60 more AHS Krab self-propelled artillery howitzers from Poland, in addition to the 18 already delivered to Ukraine
en.defence-ua.com
edit : and Russia's requipment is going backwards in time
Taking particularly T-80 from storage is related with high losses of this type of tank
en.defence-ua.com
Quite a bit of the Russian equipment that has been in storage was stripped of anything that could be sold on the black market. The newer stuff was probably hit harder than the old stuff which is why they are employing T-62s in combat now. Those T-80s will probably need to be rebuilt before they will be ready for combat.
Good news about more NATO artillery making it to Ukraine.
I think that is approximately 60-secs for very accurate return to sender
I saw this the other day. The Russians were probably not doing shoot and scoot for the benefit of the reporter doing his fluff piece on the mighty Russian army. The result was a destroyed TOS-1 and a reporter almost killed.
The reason self propelled artillery was invented was shoot and scoot.
Do you have a suggestion for what happens when Russia threatens and or uses Nukes?
Russia has been threatening to use nukes since the day the war turned against them. The nuclear armed powers in the west have probably told them that if they did use nukes. the west would respond in kind.
We also don't know how many functional warheads the Russians have. Nukes and their missiles take a lot of maintenance and the Russian military is so corrupt a lot of commanders will report maintenance as being done, but will just pocket the money instead. The US spends over $10 billion a year just on nuke maintenance and the entire Russian military budget is about $60 billion (before the war).
The smaller the warhead, the more maintenance it requires. The US has very few tactical warheads and those are "dial-a-yield" larger warheads that can be dialed down to a low yield if needed. It probably makes maintenance easier. How many tactical nuke warheads in the Russian arsenal would be anything more than dirty bombs at this point?
The military leadership probably knows or suspects this and knowing that trying to use one nuke might trigger a full launch from the US, they are probably reluctant to find out.
I'm having trouble finding reliable sources, but as a comparison (and if I understand correctly) it seems that the amount of gun violence per capita in the US is about 3 times higher compared to Sweden...
One party in Congress has prevented the FBI from keeping gun violence statistics, but they are kept by independent organizations. The US has the worst gun violence problem in the developed world. Politically it has become a minefield and is difficult to solve from that angle.