It would be suicide to try. The Ukrainian anti-ship capability is much better now than it was in February.
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Russia/Ukraine conflict
- Thread starter amolina
- Start date
It would be suicide to try. The Ukrainian anti-ship capability is much better now than it was in February.
Because they got in (alongside with a sub) in early February, before the invasion.
6 Russian Warships And Submarine Now Entering Black Sea Towards Ukraine - Naval News
Russia's military build-up around Ukraine is moving into a new phase. Emerging from under a veil of 'drills', 6 landing ships and a submarine are now sailing into the Black Sea. This brings them ever closer to potential operations in Ukraine.
www.navalnews.com
Anti-ship missiles aside, where the hell are they gonna get the marines for the invasion force? They had horrific loses among the Naval Infantry, so the few left would rattle aboard 12 landing ships.
Volksturm aint marines.
Pretty low quality Psi-Op маскировка, but that's on par with the rest of russian performance in this war; 102 days and counting
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petit_bateau
Active Member
Confirmation UK also sending MLRS to Ukraine to go alongside the 4 sets from USA. Not sure how many sets from UK.
www.theguardian.com
UK to send long-range rocket artillery to Ukraine despite Russian threats
M270 launch systems have 50-mile range and can target Russian artillery that has been attacking cities in eastern Ukraine
www.theguardian.com
Because they got in (alongside with a sub) in early February, before the invasion.
6 Russian Warships And Submarine Now Entering Black Sea Towards Ukraine - Naval News
Russia's military build-up around Ukraine is moving into a new phase. Emerging from under a veil of 'drills', 6 landing ships and a submarine are now sailing into the Black Sea. This brings them ever closer to potential operations in Ukraine.
Anti-ship missiles aside, where the hell are they gonna get the marines for the invasion force? They had horrific loses among the Naval Infantry, so the few left would rattle aboard 12 landing ships.
Volksturm aint marines.
Pretty low quality Psi-Op маскировка, but that's on par with the rest of russian performance in this war; 102 days and counting
I thought I read there were a few extra ships in the Black Sea from before the war, but I didn't see they had sent 6 landing ships.
In any case, I agree about where they are going to find the troops. The airborne and marines have suffered heavy losses.
Russia has never conducted an opposed amphibious operation other than some river crossings in WW II (which are a different animal that coastal assaults). Nobody is left who knew anything about river assaults. They really screwed up the one they attempted in the Donbas a few weeks ago.
One thing that is necessary for a successful amphibious operation is good artillery support, whether from naval ships or land based artillery. Troops attempting to get ashore without guns and rocket backing them up are sitting ducks for the defenders. With the Moskva gone, their largest naval ships to support an invasion are 5 frigates and there is no land based artillery within range of Odesa.
Amphibious assaults are almost always spearheaded by the most experienced and trained units in an army. There is a saying that the best military plans go out the window upon contact with the enemy. That's triply true of amphibious assaults. Well trained, experienced, and led troops can improvise their way around most unexpected obstacles they encounter.
Russian troops have shown very little motivation to do much of anything. If they managed to get ashore, they would likely huddle on the beach until killed or they got a chance to surrender.
I think the Russian high command knows this is way beyond their capability and they are just doing more sabre rattling.
RobStark
Well-Known Member
Ukraine war: Another Russian general killed by Ukrainian forces - reports
Russian state media said Major General Roman Kutuzov was the latest commander killed in fighting.
www.bbc.com
petit_bateau
Active Member
Difficult to even murmur a word about this right now .....
Tiger
Active Member
SwedishAdvocate
Active Member
I think you got that wrong. It's three times higher in the US compared to Sweden (If the figures I found are correct).
And Malmö actually isn't that bad any more. These days it's worse around Stockholm and Gothenburg. There's also a lot of shootings in the smaller cities – those that have a population of about 100K (and sometimes even less).
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Or the difference between offensive and cordial.
This is very interesting speculation by Trent Telenko regarding Space-X, Starlink, Elon, and Russia and Ukraine.
SwedishAdvocate
Active Member
Swedish problems
Swedish government crisis as PM threatens to resign amidst controversial NATO negotiations with Turkey
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Thread by @HKaaman on Thread Reader App
@HKaaman: 🧵Swedish government crisis as PM threatens to resign amidst controversial NATO negotiations with Turkey The Sweden Democrats (SD) just submitted a motion of no confidence against the Social Democrat (S) Min...…threadreaderapp.com
Amineh Kakabaveh changed her mind since I wrote that. And the vote of no confidence is today. However: She is now on the record saying that she has made her final decision. And she will abstain from voting on this. Therefore this motion of no confidence should fail.
That should mean one less problem for the Swedish application.
Source:
/cloudfront-us-east-2.images.arcpublishing.com/reuters/B42V2NQW3JJLFPVKGVGPRVEJV4.jpg)
Swedish government survives no-confidence vote with help of former Kurdish fighter
Sweden's government survived a no-confidence vote on Tuesday with the help of a lawmaker whose demands for support for Kurds in Northern Syria could complicate its attempts to join NATO.
www.reuters.com
Source (in Swedish):
Amineh Kakabaveh lägger ned sin röst – Johansson väntas klara sig - Nyheter (Ekot)
Politiska vilden Amineh Kakabaveh kommer lägga ner sin röst i dagens förtroendeomröstning, det säger hon i P1 Morgon. Det eftersom hon fått löfte om att ...
sverigesradio.se
petit_bateau
Active Member
The reinforcements are reaching the front in Ukraine
Ukraine is very clearly united
also worth a read
and expect more like this
www.theguardian.com
Ukraine is very clearly united
also worth a read
Would We Do Better? Hubris and Validation in Ukraine - War on the Rocks
The hapless Russians are flailing in Ukraine. Their poorly prepared, unprofessional soldiers are incapable of modern combined arms warfare. Even if
warontherocks.com
and expect more like this
Russian-language Ukrainian TV channel aims to topple Putin
February Morning, founded by former Russian MP Ilya Ponomarev, broadcasts to audience in Russia
www.theguardian.com
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petit_bateau
Active Member
And the government has survived, but how will make for interesting NATO accession talks with TurkeyAmineh Kakabaveh changed her mind since I wrote that. And the vote of no confidence is today. However: She is now on the record saying that she has made her final decision. And she will abstain from voting on this. Therefore this motion of no confidence should fail.
That should mean one less problem for the Swedish application.
Source:
Swedish government survives no-confidence vote with help of former Kurdish fighter
Sweden's government survived a no-confidence vote on Tuesday with the help of a lawmaker whose demands for support for Kurds in Northern Syria could complicate its attempts to join NATO.
Source (in Swedish):
Amineh Kakabaveh lägger ned sin röst – Johansson väntas klara sig - Nyheter (Ekot)
Politiska vilden Amineh Kakabaveh kommer lägga ner sin röst i dagens förtroendeomröstning, det säger hon i P1 Morgon. Det eftersom hon fått löfte om att ...
Sweden’s government averts political crisis with last-minute deal
The deal stems from winning the support of a politician who is determined that Stockholm does not cave to Turkey.
X Fan
Active Member
Good article re: current challenges for both Ukr & Ru:
time.com
The New Russian Offensive Is Intended to Project Power It Cannot Sustain
The Russian offensive is a final push by Putin before he exhausts his military capability—Ukraine can defeat them if it keeps up its morale
X Fan
Active Member
And this article on the folly of Germany's "Sgt Sholtz" (my nickname):
www.spiegel.de
Olaf Scholz and Ukraine: Why Has Germany Been So Slow To Deliver Weapons?
Half of all Germans – not to mention numerous allied nations – believe the German chancellor could be doing more to help Ukraine. Why has Olaf Scholz's government been so hesitant?
www.spiegel.de
bkp_duke
Well-Known Member
Good read.
time.com
I believe the author is also one of the authors for Institute for War, which a lot of us are following.
The New Russian Offensive Is Intended to Project Power It Cannot Sustain
The Russian offensive is a final push by Putin before he exhausts his military capability—Ukraine can defeat them if it keeps up its morale
I believe the author is also one of the authors for Institute for War, which a lot of us are following.
