Still thinking this? I'm hovering over selling CC's @ $200 for next Friday as SP shows signs of peaking.
No I think that scenario is dead. I'm still thinking 185 on Friday was top of wave 1 although it does look like 187.5 premarket on Friday can be used as the top too.
Still thinking we are in the correction / consolidation wave 2. It's normal to have wave B of 2 extend 1.236x beyond the starting point of wave A. 188 vs 185 is a bit of a stretch but if we use 187.5 PM on Friday as the top of wave 1 then not so much. Notice how we got rejected by the 30m 200 EMA right at the upper edge of the falling wedge. Breaking out of this wedge will be very bullish for the stock.
Also keep in mind we reclaimed the weekly 200 EMA at 187.5 and held it for a bit before giving it up. Closing the week above 187.5 will be very bullish as well.
What the price action this morning tells me is that the deterioration of China public order had been somewhat priced into TSLA and played a role in the continuous slide from I don't know how high. When news of protest hit the media yesterday, instead of jumping into shorting more, shorts decided it's time to cover their TSLA position at 179. However, we're running into the first strong resistance which is the upper edge of the wedge and weekly 200 EMA.
However, this price action tells me wave B of 2 is not done yet.
If we use 187.5 premarket Friday as the top of wave 1 then wave B of 2 can go up to 190. November PCE report comes out PM tomorrow which can act as the catalyst for this final spike. I will reconsider my count if we can close the day above 190 as something else must be going on. However, regardless of what happens, I'm still standing by my call for 195 as minimum retracement for wave 1.
On Wednesday at noon, Powell will give a speech. SPY has a tendency to get crushed on the days when he speaks. Knowing this, I think (a) big boys don't want to give retail shorts a chance to profit off TSLA on Wednesday so they're squeezing them now and (b) this further affirms that 166 is the bottom.