Alright, I’ll bite - 30x 10/22 950s at 0.77.
Bought these back at a loss of 0.90 per share at close today. Oops. Will look to sell as 1000s in the morning if I get a favorable price. If not, oh well - they were giving me heartburn.
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Alright, I’ll bite - 30x 10/22 950s at 0.77.
So, my psychic powers on Sunday nailed the 880 in premarket on Tuesday, and the reversal, but not as sharp as I thought.... so I'm amending my prediction to touch 815 and finish at 824.Buttershrimpodamus prediction of the week:
I'm seeing a rise to 880 by Tuesday with a sharp reversal once it's touched.... likely Wednesday would predict a 800 price touch and finishing at 810 Friday.
Personally, I'm hoping for the total exhilaration that can be realized when share price fluctuates slowly between 820-850, finishing at 830 Friday.
I don't see us going lower than 750 this week, and I don't see us going higher than 950.... that's like 5 buttershrimp deviations.
Woah!Bought these back at a loss of 0.90 per share at close today. Oops. Will look to sell as 1000s in the morning if I get a favorable price. If not, oh well - they were giving me heartburn.
Wow, that is a big sell the news. Hard to see the sell off that big on a beat. I'd guess it will bounce after market, up 20 and down 40 and settling somewhere around down 20 and then bouncing back on Friday and rising next week. Thursday could be a great day to sell the BPS for 10-29.So, my psychic powers on Sunday nailed the 880 in premarket on Tuesday, and the reversal, but not as sharp as I thought.... so I'm amending my prediction to touch 815 and finish at 824.
I still believe this beat will be larger than expected. TBD.Wow, that is a big sell the news. Hard to see the sell off that big on a beat. I'd guess it will bounce after market, up 20 and down 40 and settling somewhere around down 20 and then bouncing back on Friday and rising next week. Thursday could be a great day to sell the BPS for 10-29.
Wow, that is a big sell the news. Hard to see the sell off that big on a beat. I'd guess it will bounce after market, up 20 and down 40 and settling somewhere around down 20 and then bouncing back on Friday and rising next week. Thursday could be a great day to sell the BPS for 10-29.
I still believe this beat will be larger than expected. TBD.
I am not a tax professional or a lawyer, but my understanding is that non-qualified covered calls (like weeklys) reset the holding period of short-term shares, but not long-term. 26 CFR § 1.1092(b)-2T - Treatment of holding periods and losses with respect to straddle positions (temporary). See (a)(2).
Fidelity has a publication that discusses many of these issues, but it is a little unclear on this point. I can read it either way: Tax Implications of Covered Calls - Fidelity
But their publication is a summary of "Taxes and Investing", and old publicaton from the OIC, which states:
I think that agrees with the tax code above.
If anyone has better sources or information (like from a real tax pro) please share.
Thank you for that information - that is my understanding as well. My question was more specifically directed towards selling CC in the money, as opposed to out of the money.
OK, more thoughts on this... I'm planning to do 40x now, potential $160k profit by Friday if we close at the strikeI had been thinking the same thing. Those premiums leave of lot of room for error (825 to 905), but then ofcourse the stock still has to jump over that elephant in the room called earnings. I’m not really risk averse, but will probably be watching from the sidelines how this experiment by our Anglo-Belgian works out, hoping for a slam dunk.
IV crush will happen in one direction tomorrow. Don't know which one....Since IV hasn’t really risen that much are we still expecting an IV crush tomorrow morning? Maybe 50 to 47 or 45 at the most?
If you are going to buy some calls to hedge, maybe go out another week. The other option is just sell covered calls for 880 so if the SP drops you keep the premium and don't lose the shares. If it goes up and you lose the shares, sell Puts to get them back. I wish I had an IRA. Taxes in regular accounts prevents me from playing these profitable games.Whacky IRA idea predicated on sell the news happening-
Sell shares at $863ish, use cash to sell $850 10/22 puts at around $13.50-14/sh.... get back slightly higher # of shares plus the premium if it dips.
Could even hedge a huge climb by buying some $950 calls for 10/22 for like 10% of the premium received on selling the puts.
Dumb?
You mean 865! You mixed your leaps with your straddle.... abort abort!
His wording is incorrect, but the screenshot looks correct for the straddle.... maybe?
IV is around 66% so quite high.. expecting a crush tomorrow. Looks like today will be fairly flat.. I will aim to close my bps tomorrow then.
along the lines of this question, i see tsla at 49% IV on thinkorswim. but it appears each options strike has its own IV as well. Seems to be a big discrepancy on what the IV is, anyone know which is right?Can I ask where you are seeing 66%?
I'm seeing 4%
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Premiums for next week also are really low.
Was planning on exiting my +700/-720 BPS (which are 90% profitable) and selling some BPS for next week but for the same strikes I receive abysmal premiums.
I think I'll wait 'till after earnings to close the position and open new ones. Unless my position goes to +95% profitable by the end of today or so.