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SHORT-LIVED THREAD: Your best SP Guess After TSLA's "Big Week"

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by EinSV, Oct 25, 2016.

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  1. EinSV

    EinSV Active Member

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    #1 EinSV, Oct 25, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 25, 2016
    Tesla and its shareholders have a big week coming up. A much anticipated earnings report, solar roof unveil and a discussion of merged TSLA/SCTY financials. So far, the market has brushed off a beat on Q3 deliveries, AP2 reveal and other seemingly good news. Will this pattern continue? Will the SP break-out? Or will Tesla disappoint and the SP head south?

    Let's use close of market November 2 (the day after the TSLA/SCTY financial discussion) as the benchmark.

    In the spirit of @AudubonB's recent "Best Guess on Q3 Deliveries" thread, please just provide your best number (no ranges). If you must, a very short explanation. Discussion can take place in other threads. I'll ask the Mods to shut it down shortly after November 2.

    Can TMC match its dazzling performance guessing Q3 deliveries? Let's find out.

    Contest closes at 4:00 pm ET tomorrow (10/26). If you make a guess, you can update it once before the 4:00 pm ET deadline.

    To get the ball rolling, my guesstimate is $211.50. A nice bump up but nothing crazy.
     
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  2. austinEV

    austinEV Supporting Member

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    220. Two 5% days. I will be very happy to be wrong because it is higher.
     
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  3. TMSE

    TMSE Member

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    I will stretch the big week until Nov 2nd. By then, I expect stock price to be around $260. After, the merger vote on Nov 17th and the general elections behind us, expect the stock price soar to near $300.
     
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  4. 3Victoria

    3Victoria Active Member

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  5. EinSV

    EinSV Active Member

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    Yes, using close of market Nov. 2 as the end of the "Big Week" (technically a week plus one day) to give the market a chance to react to the Nov. 1 event.
     
  6. ZsoZso

    ZsoZso Member

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    my guesstimate: $235 on Nov 2nd closing.
    I expect higher number during the week before that, reaching an intra-day max around $250.
     
  7. bdy0627

    bdy0627 Member

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    214. TSLA being in the penalty box over SCTY will mitigate enthusiasm. I also think sell the news will come into play, at least for Fridays event.
     
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  8. austinEV

    austinEV Supporting Member

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    This should have been a survey with $5 buckets...
     
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  9. EinSV

    EinSV Active Member

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    #9 EinSV, Oct 25, 2016
    Last edited: Oct 25, 2016
    I thought about that but expected a pretty broad range of guesses so thought it would look pretty messy (we already are at a $50 spread and could be $100 by the time we are done). So I decided to structure it along the lines of the Q3 deliveries thread.
     
  10. NannerAirCraft

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    I'm gonna guess $240 after Nov 2 close.
     
  11. Discoducky

    Discoducky Active Member

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    Watershed moment, $235 Nov 5th close. I have the 2017 sports almanac as well!
     
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  12. DaveT

    DaveT Searcher of green pastures

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  13. doctoxics

    doctoxics Member

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  14. pz1975

    pz1975 Member

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  15. CALGARYARSENAL

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    232.00 by next week.
     
  16. tander

    tander Active Member

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    I'll go with 262.
     
  17. MitchJi

    MitchJi Trying to learn kindness, patience & forgiveness

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    I hope we're as close as we were with the deliveries (except for the $204 and $210) :).

    By Friday the 4th my WAG is $235.
     
  18. Turing

    Turing Member

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    $242. (+/- $20 ;))
     
  19. dandurston

    dandurston Member

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  20. TrendTrader007

    TrendTrader007 Active Member

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    $252.95
    if TSLA goes up after ER and following events it will not be a tepid move, it will move at least 20% to 25 % or so within next 5 trading days which gives me SP of between $242.80 and $ 252.95
    of course, nobody has a clue, all guesses, however if optimism were to return suddenly in the next week as i suspect, along with short fueled rally then we may have a wild stock on our hands with +20 to 25% move easy within a week
    we'll see. i'll take anything since my cost basis is 225 or so
     

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