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Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

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hoang51

Member
Aug 22, 2013
878
796
NoVA
The question is, after the announcement(s)/conference, where is TSLA share price expected to go? Anybody see a continued upward or downward trend after that? I'm thinking positive for a while before it dips down.

Looks like the macros is calming down the excitement in TSLA. =\
 
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JRP3

Hyperactive Member
Aug 20, 2007
19,432
42,582
Central New York
I really hope not since it suggests they don't have immediate plans for a visual refresh, or they would bundle it all together.

Visual refresh only makes sense if they need it to drive sales. A P100D should do that on it's own, so it might make sense to keep the refresh in reserve for now.
 
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austinEV

Supporting Member
May 16, 2013
3,231
7,352
Austin
Visual refresh only makes sense if they need it to drive sales. A P100D should do that on it's own, so it might make sense to keep the refresh in reserve for now.

No, the S is in "Osborne" lockdown right now. The X and 3 clearly show the design direction and there is too much reason now to wait and see what the 3 is like before buying an S.

Market research: My 3 year old model S doesn't have AP or other cool features. I am itching to upgrade but I am holding off until the 3 clarifies, or an S refresh is announced, whichever comes first. This customer is Osbourned.
 

farzyness

Food lover. Entrepreneur. Did I say food lover?
Aug 8, 2013
674
1,493
Earth
No, the S is in "Osborne" lockdown right now. The X and 3 clearly show the design direction and there is too much reason now to wait and see what the 3 is like before buying an S.

Market research: My 3 year old model S doesn't have AP or other cool features. I am itching to upgrade but I am holding off until the 3 clarifies, or an S refresh is announced, whichever comes first. This customer is Osbourned.

Not to mention a refresh will give another reason for "Osbourned" Model S customers to trade-in their existing Model S. This will give Tesla more CPO sales which again will help Financials tremendously. It's in Tesla's best interest to get a refresh out well before Model 3 launch, otherwise they will potentially suffer from "Osbourned" Model S owners holding out a little too long not willing to upgrade.
 
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JRP3

Hyperactive Member
Aug 20, 2007
19,432
42,582
Central New York
No, the S is in "Osborne" lockdown right now. The X and 3 clearly show the design direction and there is too much reason now to wait and see what the 3 is like before buying an S.

Market research: My 3 year old model S doesn't have AP or other cool features. I am itching to upgrade but I am holding off until the 3 clarifies, or an S refresh is announced, whichever comes first. This customer is Osbourned.

I appreciate the extensive research, but unless Tesla is actually seeing decreased S orders Osbourne isn't necessarily in the house yet. I question how many potential S buyers are going to wait 2+ years for the 3 instead of buying an S, especially if a P100D with improved 0-60 is announced, even with the existing nose.
 
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Ulmo

Active Member
Jan 19, 2016
4,324
4,428
Vienna Woods, Aptos, California
Various rumors that seem like they're pulled from TMC speculation:

Tesla is making the Model S a bit more luxurious, and more expensive

Updated Tesla Model S with more features, higher price coming soon - Roadshow

Tesla Model S may get 'Bioweapon Defense Mode' and 100kWh battery option this week

My email of April 4 says: "We've ramped up Model X production significantly and accelerated delivery timelines. In just a couple of weeks, we'll be opening up orders online and in-store for Model X. Before we do that, we'd like to invite you to configure yours first."
 
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MitchJi

Trying to learn kindness, patience & forgiveness
Jun 1, 2015
3,971
8,905
Marin County, CA
A MS refresh could include a huge windshield like the MX and maybe the rear glass like the M3.

Q1 ER-CC should have the first full quarter of TE with the new automated production line, which should be substantial. Q4 production was brief, and the bottom line results were reduced even further due to the costs and the time involved in setting up the line. They probably sized the line to either accommodate the output of GF phase 1 output (1/7 the of 35gWh) or the 15gWh planned for TE at the GF. So if Panasonic can supply the cells... In any case this will be the first quarter of TE income with no zero Cap-Ex.

They should also report production of roughly 3k-4k MX which should be a boost to SP.
 
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tanner

Active Member
Nov 17, 2013
1,118
286
SoCal
No, the S is in "Osborne" lockdown right now. The X and 3 clearly show the design direction and there is too much reason now to wait and see what the 3 is like before buying an S.

Market research: My 3 year old model S doesn't have AP or other cool features. I am itching to upgrade but I am holding off until the 3 clarifies, or an S refresh is announced, whichever comes first. This customer is Osbourned.
I'm right there with you... Mine will be 3 shortly as well :)

Can't wait for AP
 

Wenche

Member
Oct 22, 2012
311
822
Norway
image.jpeg

This just showed up in my IB news feed. Looks like the shorts are still short.
 
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