Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

This site may earn commission on affiliate links.
Status
Not open for further replies.
And this is exactly how Tesla handled the Supercharger build out; build where there are the most sales.
No, it isn't. That's historically totally inaccurate. And it would have been extra triply stupid for the Superchargers, which are for *road trips*. What Tesla actually did was to build along Interstate Highway routes which they thought would be heavily used by existing customers.
 
There is another shoe to drop here....or there is Elon, and "there is no spoon" and no one gets a cookie.

Purchasing one capital intensive business at the same time you are ramping capital expenditures in your core business makes no sense - even if you just raised $10 billion and not $1.4 billion. So unless there are deep pockets about to be tapped into - (the same old litany of Google, Volkswagon, Apple....). Then I don't understand this, in 2D, 3D or the multi-universe.
 
This is vague, I am guessing you are using this to reply about the rising interest rate. When SHTF, 99.5% on time payment turns into 100% default. Especially with the clusterf*** of securitization.

With Current TSLA, we know how much car we need to sell to reach net 0. I am not getting the answer from SCTY. Yeah I know the margin from income payment needs to outpace the debt payment (which also needs to offset the cost of the solar panels in 20 years). So, how many installs needs to be done. Or how many years before the full cost of the solar panels gets paid off.

The fight with utilities and the negative outcomes on net metering ruling is the reason why I asked about the scenario where no net customer base growth and continued expenses.
people pay less for Solarcity electricity then they do from their local utility. You don't default on your cheaper utility payments. The interest rates are very competitive when you have such significantly high rate of on time payments in addition to very high fico score home owners making those payments.

Like I said before, utiltiy commission obstacles pose the most immediate threat. However, Solarcity has a FERC chairman in charge of Solarcity policy team and has already had significant studies come out in the past month that shows net metering provides a benefit for all utiltiy rate payers above retail net metering. This is just a matter of time before the regulatory resistance fades. Again, as the regulatory resistance fades Solarcity is a much more valuable company quicker then tesla proper. Just the United States alone, Solarcity addressable market is still less then 2% penetrated, so a massive market share still unserved.
 
Actually, I was thinking about the various states that don't allow non-utilities to sell electricity....
But the "pros" are now outweighing the "cons" for me...
And this (plus the potential explosion
[in a good way] of solar/storage/auto B&Ms in banned states) could also help explain the timing.
More hmmmmmmm.....


Whoa. Hold up. If SolarCity is considered a utility, and becomes a part of Tesla, Supercharging could potentially become a pay-per-use (or subscription) revenue stream from apartment-dwelling Model 3 owners who need local charging.....

Hmmmmmm...... Is that just too CrAzY to contemplate?
 
  • Like
Reactions: madodel
Just to echo other concerns, great decision long term, utterly stupid one to do right now at this point in Tesla's life.

If TSLA share price stays super depressed I will vote against it.

Hopefully Elon has enough insider information to have some big knowledge up his sleeves here in the next 1.5 years.
Unless one thought that something was shortly going to happen that would rocket the SP. So do you want to take a hit before a rapid rise or after it? This may really all be short term movements. Not 1.5 years or 2 years, but weeks. People who don't like rollercoasters should dabble in TSLA or SCTY. :)
 
  • Helpful
Reactions: SW2Fiddler
The State of New York is building a panel gigafactory including machinery and leasing it to Solar City for a $1 per year.
As I've said elsewhere, I think the Silevo factory in Buffalo is worth a lot. Basically worth the $900 million which went into it. I think Silevo is worth at least the $200 million which SolarCity paid for it and Zep is worth at least the $154 million which SolarCity paid for it. That's 1.3 billion right there. The nationwide installation business is probably worth *something*, even though it appears to basically break even.

The problem is that SolarCity has this financial mess on top of the business. There's 3.25 billion in debt, and then there are all these PPAs and leases and so on. It's very hard to work out whether that financial mess is worth a positive amount, or whether it's a liability.

Tesla's car loans are almost all from banks, and the banks take the default risk.

If Tesla can unwind SolarCity's financing mess and transition to a comprehensible financing scheme where banks make the loans and take the default risks, I'd be quite happy with the acquistion. But I don't see that that's going to happen.
 
PALO ALTO, CA--(Marketwired - June 21, 2016) - Tesla management will host a conference call and webcast at 4:30 a.m. PDT (7:30 a.m. EDT) on Wednesday, June 22, 2016, to discuss the rationale surrounding our offer to acquire SolarCity.


What: Tesla Offer to Acquire SolarCity Conference Call & Webcast


When: Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Time: 4:30 a.m. PDT / 7:30 a.m. EDT
Webcast: http://ir.tesla.com (live and replay)
Participant Dial-In: (877) 312-5519
International Dial-In: (760) 666-3771
Conference ID: 39269812


The webcast will be archived on the company's website following the call.


ADD: link on IR webpage
Tesla Motors Conference Call | Tesla Motors
 
PALO ALTO, CA--(Marketwired - June 21, 2016) - Tesla management will host a conference call and webcast at 4:30 a.m. PDT (7:30 a.m. EDT) on Wednesday, June 22, 2016, to discuss the rationale surrounding our offer to acquire SolarCity.


What: Tesla Offer to Acquire SolarCity Conference Call & Webcast


When: Wednesday, June 22, 2016
Time: 4:30 a.m. PDT / 7:30 a.m. EDT
Webcast: http://ir.tesla.com (live and replay)
Participant Dial-In: (877) 312-5519
International Dial-In: (760) 666-3771
Conference ID: 39269812


The webcast will be archived on the company's website following the call.


ADD: link on IR webpage
Tesla Motors Conference Call | Tesla Motors

Wow. They're doing this call well before the market opens. My impression is this is an attempt at damage control (to Tesla's stock price). Between this Hastily assembled call and Elons tweet today, I think he's clearly surprised with the degree of the decline in TSLA in after hours.

I'm glad they're holding this call quickly but I doubt it'll really help reduce the major hit to TSLA. We'll see

I'm really hoping for some rebounding/stabilization tomorrow.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.