So are you leaving your powerwall setting as they are for the winter and just run off the grid when the Powerwalls get down to your reserve or do you change your settings and if so what setting do you use.
I use self powered mode. I only keep mentioning it, because when talking about things like reserve settings and such, what mode you are in also matters in what the system does. Anyway, as we go into fall / winter I actually raise my reserve some, because several things contribute to less solar being available.
For me, my daily goal is to ensure that, if at ALL possible, there is a point during the day that my powerwalls get to 100%. Since self powered mode powers both the home and fills the powerwalls (instead of prioritizing filling the powerwalls and running off the home in off peak), I have to change my reserve to a higher number if I expect rain, or something else that will mean low production.
Right now, on a clear day, my system generates about 36kWh or so of power. Yesterday, however, it generated 15kW. Because I knew it was going to be overcast / cloudy / rainy, I moved my reserve from what I currently keep it at (which is 30%) to 100% to get as much PV in my powerwalls as possible (for backup purposes) and then, when I went to bed , lowered it back to 30% so I would run off that power during the night, because I expect it to be clear today.
I micromanage my reserve depending on weather, myself (not in an automated way).