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Nobel Prize-winning auction geniuses want to apply their findings to renewables

Stanford professors Paul R. Milgrom and Robert B. Wilson were awarded the 2020 Nobel Prize in economics for developing a new auction theory and new auction formats for goods and services. Their findings were already successfully used in the electricity energy sector and may now meet the challenge on how to better shape clean energy procurements
 
Exporting solar energy has been flagged as a way Australia
My guess about Aus clean energy exports is different.

From the POV of e.g Singapore, it is cheaper to produce energy in Aus and ship it than e.g to continue buying fossil fuel. Local production is hampered by local conditions (weather, pop density, terrain etc.)

Aus then gets to pay the marginal cost of adding on more generation for themselves. It is analogous to a homeowner getting a quote for a 10 kW installed system and then deciding on 11 kW. The new quote is likely to be less than 1.1x times higher and the extra cost can approach the cost of just the panels since the fixed costs are already paid, the infrastructure might be the same, and even most of the labor is already paid.

The developers may also be treating Aus as an energy sink to avoid curtailment.
 
EIA Electric Power Monthly - October 2020 (to November 2020)

Solar lags wind by a lot, but continues to grow.

600.2MW of new utility scale solar was added, taking the total to 40,709.8MW. Planned 12-month solar capacity additions increased by 80.3MW to 13,042.1MW.

Utilty-scale solar generation was 9.4TWh, up from 7.8TWh in 2019.

Including estimated small-scale generation, in August solar was was 13.6TWh, 3.37% of US generation compared to 2.83% a year ago. That brought the rolling share above 3% for the first time, at 3.04%, up from 2.45% a year ago.

12 month rolling estimated solar plus wind generation was 10.93% of generation.

Utility Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month41,867.7600.242,467.91.43%
YTD37,468.34,999.642,467.913.34%
Rolling34,060.68,407.342,467.924.68%
Plan +12mo13,562.080.313,042.130.71%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
20197,84451,20968,9921.94%1.82%1.65%
20209,37063,90284,6302.32%2.33%2.07%
Difference1,52612,69315,6380.38%0.51%0.42%

Small Scale Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month25,779.5417.926,197.41.62%
YTD23,213.62,983.826,197.412.85%
Rolling21,724.64,472.826,197.420.59%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
20193,63024,64633,3920.90%0.87%0.80%
20204,24029,45239,7631.05%1.07%0.97%
Difference6104,8066,3710.15%0.20%0.17%

Total Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month67,647.21,018.168,665.31.51%
YTD60,681.97,983.468,665.313.16%
Rolling55,785.212,880.168,665.323.09%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
201911,47475,855102,3842.83%2.69%2.45%
202013,61093,354124,3943.37%3.40%3.04%
Difference2,13617,49922,0100.54%0.71%0.59%
 
pv magazine International: PV powered desalination is “the most competitive design”.
PV powered desalination is “the most competitive design”

Good to see stuff like this. This is encouraging for places like future California.

In California's future of heat pump air/water heating, our seasonal demand for electricity will increase massively in the winter. That means we will need to end up with 2-3x+ excess solar production in the summer to help meet winter needs. Besides H2 electrolysis production to soak up this spring/summer excess, desalination would be a great use and just at the perfect seasonal time.

Our wet season here is the winter and summers are bone dry. Why not use all that excess solar PV then to desalinate and water central valley crops. That leaves our aquifers and hydroelectric resources in better positions.


From the scientific publication embedded:
Results reveal that the cost of desalinated water would range between 0.98 $/m3 (PV + Grid) and 1.14 $/m3 (PV + Storage + Grid) with the share of electricity cost in the total cost of water varying between 39% and 47% respectively.

Techno-economic assessment of solar energy coupling with large-scale desalination plant: The case of Morocco - ScienceDirect
 
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Anyone seen (or heard) anything close to definitive, Biden's plan to encourage home solar +/- storage? And, if the tax credit is being extended, if he plans on an income ceiling for this credit?

Good summary of Biden's tax plan here: Joseph Biden Aims To Improve US EV Tax Credit, Restore It For Tesla & GM

The article is mainly focused on removing the cap on EV tax credits, but it also says Biden's plan is to "reinstate the solar investment tax credit." Which presumably means bumping it back up to 30%?
 
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Biden's plans are irrelevant with the Republicans in control of the Senate.

Not really worth arguing over whether the Senate is a foregone conclusion (less than 60% of the votes in Alaska have been counted, and some polls in October showed Al Gross in the lead), but regardless, between the President's power to write the Federal budget and the House's power of the purse, I wouldn't say Biden's plans are "irrelevant."
 
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Not really worth arguing over whether the Senate is a foregone conclusion (less than 60% of the votes in Alaska have been counted, and some polls in October showed Al Gross in the lead), but regardless, between the President's power to write the Federal budget and the House's power of the purse, I wouldn't say Biden's plans are "irrelevant."

The Republicans will say no until the mid-terms.
 
The Republicans will say no until the mid-terms.
Of course they will.

But if Trump has taught us anything, it is that the executive branch wields immense power and the president can run the country and the economy through executive orders. I think the only question is how much Biden is willing to govern via fiat to reverse the Trump fiats, and then to take things further.

Regarding climate change, step #1 is to bring the social cost of carbon* up to an amount consistent with mainstream scientific estimates -- no less than $80 per ton. That will have an *enormous* effect on every PUC/PRC in the country mandated to guide utility decisions about energy sources. The tl;dr version is that no fossil source will be approved if the social cost of carbon is rational.

*It was set at $40 a ton during the Obama years, and then reduced to $4 a ton by Trump flunkies.
 
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EIA Electric Power Monthly - November 2020 (to September 2020)

Solar lags wind by a lot, but continues to grow.

679.1MW of new utility scale solar was added, taking the total to 43,147.0MW. Planned 12-month solar capacity additions increased by 1,379.7MW to 13,742.7MW.

Utilty-scale solar generation was 7.76TWh, up from 6.73TWh in 2019.

Including estimated small-scale generation, in September solar was was 11.5TWh, 3.41% of US generation compared to 2.74% a year ago. That brought the rolling share to 3.10%, up from 2.48% a year ago.

12 month rolling estimated solar plus wind generation was 11.01% of generation, breaking 11% for the first time.

Utility Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month42,467.9679.143,147.01.60%
YTD37,468.35,678.743,147.015.16%
Rolling34,314.28,832.843,147.025.74%
Plan +12mo13,042.11,379.713,742.731.85%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
20196,72658,02669,8481.86%1.82%1.67%
20207,75771,66085,5702.30%2.33%2.11%
Difference1,03113,63415,7220.44%0.50%0.43%

Small Scale Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month26,197.4308.426,505.81.18%
YTD23,213.63,292.226,505.814.18%
Rolling22,031.14,474.726,505.820.31%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
20193,22227,85133,9230.89%0.88%0.81%
20203,75633,20840,3151.11%1.08%0.99%
Difference5345,3576,3920.22%0.20%0.18%

Total Solar:

Capacity (MW):
PeriodPriorChangeNewChange
Month68,665.3987.569,652.81.44%
YTD60,681.98,970.969,652.814.78%
Rolling56,345.313,307.569,652.823.62%

Generation (GWh):
YearMonthYTDRollingMonth %YTD%Rolling
20199,94885,877103,7712.74%2.70%2.48%
202011,514104,868125,8853.41%3.40%3.10%
Difference1,56618,99122,1140.66%0.70%0.61%