Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Wiki SpaceX Manifest and Launch Cadence

jbcarioca

Well-Known Member
Feb 3, 2015
5,118
23,577
Please explain
A Shortfall of Gravitas – Spaceflight Now
Logically, I hope, it seemed to me that one primary impediment to faster launch sequence was the practical pace of first sta ge recoveries. Thus, adding this one should allow A higher recovery capacity, therefore probably reducing launch costs and permitting faster placement for refurbishment. Once Mr. Stevens can function as planned for fairing recovery we’ll probably see about two more of those ships too.

Possibly there will be others as well, since these ships are crucial components of launch cost reduction through reusability.
 
  • Informative
Reactions: SageBrush

Grendal

SpaceX Moderator
Jan 31, 2012
5,755
7,016
Santa Fe, New Mexico
SpaceX will not likely beat 30 launches for 2018. Somewhere around 24 or 25 seems likely. As of this moment, there are six Block 5 cores completed with only B1051 having the upgraded COPVs that NASA demands for Commercial Crew. The seventh B5 booster is due to appear sometime soon and SpaceX will likely have 10 altogether before the end of the year. I fully expect to see a third launch of the same booster before the end of the year with B1046 being the most likely candidate. One of the upcoming boosters will need to be the B5 FH center core for there to be another FH launch this year (Arabsat).

There are nine older launched SpaceX boosters sitting around with one (Orbcomm 2) officially and permanently on display at SpaceX's Hawthorne factory. Two more have been given to NASA and Cape Canaveral for future display. That leaves six more just sitting around awaiting use in some form or another.

cores - spacex

Edit: It looks like the Commercial Crew delay cut into the number of launches for this year. Likely it will end up at 22. About half of those used previously flown boosters. My guess of 10 Block 5 cores is very likely going to be accurate. They have nine now with 2 1/2 months to go. SpaceX will have launched the same booster for the third time next month, likely the first B5 booster B1046.
 
Last edited:
  • Informative
Reactions: Electroman

Grendal

SpaceX Moderator
Jan 31, 2012
5,755
7,016
Santa Fe, New Mexico
How about a historical comparison:
DpzzspLWwAAi9gJ.jpg:large
 

ecarfan

Well-Known Member
Sep 21, 2013
19,198
13,848
San Mateo, CA
The second graphic I posted shows how rapidly SpaceX has increased its launch cadence in the past 10 years, and how ULA and Arianespace have shrunk, as has Russia. China is increasing its launches.
 

Grendal

SpaceX Moderator
Jan 31, 2012
5,755
7,016
Santa Fe, New Mexico
As of this date, SpaceX has a stable of 6 Block 5 F9 boosters to use and reuse. There are also the two B5 side boosters available for a FH but no center core at this time.

The six current F9 boosters have the following number of launches behind them:
B1048 - 4
B1049 - 4
B1051 - 3 (will launch for the 4th time very soon)
B1056 - 3
B1058 - 0 (DM-2 booster)
B1059 - 1

The FH boosters have both flown for 2 missions.
 

Grendal

SpaceX Moderator
Jan 31, 2012
5,755
7,016
Santa Fe, New Mexico
At this moment SpaceX has only five boosters available for standard launches:

B1049
B1051
B1058
B1059
B1060 - spoken for until recovered

All except for one (B1058 May 30th) will be launched this month June 2020 - weather permitting. The shortest turnaround time for a Block 5 booster has been 2 months. Sadly, the loss of two boosters in landings earlier this year may cause some delays in upcoming Starlink launches.
 
Last edited:

About Us

Formed in 2006, Tesla Motors Club (TMC) was the first independent online Tesla community. Today it remains the largest and most dynamic community of Tesla enthusiasts. Learn more.

Do you value your experience at TMC? Consider becoming a Supporting Member of Tesla Motors Club. As a thank you for your contribution, you'll get nearly no ads in the Community and Groups sections. Additional perks are available depending on the level of contribution. Please visit the Account Upgrades page for more details.


SUPPORT TMC
Top