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How unusual was the explosion this morning? How does SpaceX success/fail rate compare to others and the industry?
When I did consulting for Hughes I seem to remember at least a couple of incidents of their having had satellites destroyed prior to orbital deployment.
I really want to dislike your post, but I Really wish there were a way to avoid these incidents. I fear maturity of the team and platform simply do require time.SpaceX is bound to have more incidents, as much as I wish for them not to.
I'm not sure you can say SpaceX is on 2/27 as this wasn't a launch...
As for the others hiding behind proven technology: Not really, both the ULA vehicles are very high tech with the RD-180 engine on Atlas V being cutting edge stuff when it first flew and the RS-68A bring the most powerful hydrogen engine flown. Having dealt with them I have nothing but respect for their meticulous professionalism and it's no wonder they have 100% success rate.
I'm not sure that was the case. As I recall the USAF/DoD wanted the EELV program to be competitive between Boeing's Delta IV and LockMart's Atlas V in hopes of reducing launch costs. As it turned out both were relatively high cost options for the commercial market and didn't gather enough customers beyond the DoD to support two entirely separate programs. I believe they had to convince the U.S. Government to allow them to merge in order to survive. (At least as I recall that was the argument they made.)Poust to be: Falcon 9 2/29 7%
And ULA was forced by gov. coz both Boeing's and Lockheed Martin's rockets were failing left and right...
SpaceX is pushing for advancement of spaceflight in terms of both cost and capability, while the others hide behind long proven existing technology.
Agreed. Whether an accident occurs before or after the launch, since the rocket was on the pad with the payload and because of the accident the payload did not reach orbit, this is a failure.Even if the explosion occurred outside of the rocket, as it appears to be to me, then this would still be considered a failure. With the exception of some outside force causing the failure, any incident causing the loss of the vehicle would rest on the shoulders of SpaceX. As much as I would love for that not to be true.
Sometimes the cost of perfection is not worth it. 3M for example are masters of finding the sweet spot of run quality. They'll set very high quality standards but may then determine that 80% of production meeting that standard is more profitable than 90% or 95%. Not completely unlike the chip industry. If SpaceX launches cost half what others do then even blowing up a few rockets and payloads still leaves them well ahead of the game.... SpaceX is definitely the most fast and loose of the commercial launchers; most of the time their public successes outshine the...let's call it the 'less put together' aspects of their operations. Combined with the very different public presence of spacex relative to other launchers, that sometimes allows people to disproportionally weigh failures with spacex vs others. If your rocket isn't reliable though, it doesn't matter how much you think you're pushing the advancement of Spaceflight.