Oh boy! I pray for options. I WANT to drive my cars. If it really does go to becoming an appliance like a refrigerator with tires (I had Volvo that looked like one!), I will be one mighty unhappy camper. My dream is that the car would be completely autonomous or somewhere in between, where it could intervene when needed, depending on user choice.
Honestly, I think the forecasts of this happening in the next few years are way too optimistic. There are so many complexities in this topic. Such as the car needs to hear in addition to see, from every angle, and discern what it is seeing and hearing. Think ambulance...And let's not forget about extreme weather conditions. Think about the human reasoning it takes in order to navigate a blizzard when trying to get home to your loved ones. No, we probably should not drive through blizzards and hurricanes. But that is what humans do. That is what I have done and I know that I am not alone.
I simply do not see that we have the computing power, the programming expertise or the real world modeling to have this become a reality for some time. How much time? I do not know. But I will bet dollars to donuts, it is not within the next 5-10 years.
I fear that we humans are trusting machines too much. They can be useful tools under our command and control. When we allow them to take control, which I fear we are willing to do, we are, plain and simple, F--ked.
Read Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking on AI. And read it carefully.