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Speculation on 200,000th Vehicle

Discussion in 'Model 3: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by ColoradoDave, May 5, 2018.

  1. ColoradoDave

    ColoradoDave Member

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    Hi, I am new to this group, anxiously awaiting an invitation. what is the current speculation regarding when Tesla will hit the 200K mark in the US? I'm trying to guess what incentives may still exist when I get an invite. A salesman kind of implied today that they already hit the number. Thanks.
     
  2. MistaEV

    MistaEV Member

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    The current speculation is that Tesla is trying to make sure the most amount of people can get the max credit by shipping cars to Canada. I do not know if this is officially the stance, but it sounds good.
     
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  3. DR61

    DR61 Member

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  4. TaoJones

    TaoJones Beyond Driven

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    Q3, week 1. Same as it ever was.

    Look for an uptick in deliveries to Canada in particular in this quarter to facilitate the simple objective of having as much of a full half-year to produce full tax credit-eligible vehicles before the credit is halved, and then halved again before it goes away completely at the federal level.

    Note the creeping erosion of state-level incentives - e.g., income restrictions, quantity limits, and of course the ownership time threshold for California's $2500 rebate.
     
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  5. ColoradoDave

    ColoradoDave Member

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    Thank you all!
     
  6. trevorc

    trevorc Member

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    It does look like this is the strategy - I’m a perfect example. In a normal priority world I’d be waiting quite a while longer since I only reserved April 19, 2017. However, I got an invite and configured April 26th and found a VIN on my account when I woke up yesterday morning. So I’m..er.. very grateful for the US tax credit situation!
     
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  7. jtpassat

    jtpassat Member

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    Grrr... That explains the uptick in Canadian VIN assignment.
     
  8. Legolas

    Legolas Member

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    Assuming 200,000 US delivery hits in Q3W1 (Week-1/Jul'18 ?), then all deliveries until 31/Dec/18 are eligible for $7500 federal rebate? Given, the current delivery of < 2months from config, I want to see if I should wait for the White/cream interior option. The SR availability will be a big bonus, I really don't need LR.
     
  9. dsvick

    dsvick Active Member

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    Yes, all vehicles delivered same quarter they sell the 200,000th and the entire next quarter would be eligible for the full $7,500 rebate.
     
    • Informative x 2
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  10. animorph

    animorph Active Member

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    The interior option should be (I hope) clear by the end of the week per Elon's tweets. No need to sweat about it until then. I wouldn't bet on anyone getting SR with a full rebate, but a partial rebate should be possible. Still much cheaper than an LR + full rebate now, though the full rebate makes the LR/SR cost comparison a little better.

    We're hoping for white interior and I think we'll put up with LR + full rebate to get the car sooner.
     
  11. Legolas

    Legolas Member

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    Can you kindly point me to the tweet/discussion you are referring to?
     
  12. viktorleon

    viktorleon Member

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    Is it safe to say that us California folks are in the same boat as Washington state residents with their expiring rebates (5/31/2018) and our receding budget for such rebates ($60M)?
     
  13. quantumslip

    quantumslip Member

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    Elon Musk on Twitter

    elon.PNG
     
  14. Legolas

    Legolas Member

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    Thanks a lot. Definitely will wait until July to configure for white interior. Hope I will not have to wait for 6 months, as I had originally reserved on 31/Mar/16 waiting in line, and hopefully, ahead of others in the deferred list :D
     

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  15. TaoJones

    TaoJones Beyond Driven

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    I expect the CA rebates to resume, but with the income limits, the requirement to keep the vehicle 2.5 years (else pay $ back proportionally), and the limit of 2 per lifetime, fewer people will be eligible.

    With certain pandering state legislators whining about giving breaks to the rich via these very modest incentives, combined with the erosion of HOV/toll lane benefits, and the 30% increase in DMV fees that I got from last year to this, I’m pretty much done with CA.

    Ironic that the last straw was the state completely screwing up EV adoption at the margins in every possible way.

    A sensible highway tax based upon weight and mileage (with caveats) would make too much sense.
     
  16. ncsmith4

    ncsmith4 Member

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    Im not following the California discussion... where does it say that the CA EV rebate is expiring 5/31?
     
  17. TT97

    TT97 Active Member

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    The 5/31 date was referring to WA, not CA. However, for CA, the Clean Vehicle Rebate Project has certain amount of funding each year and the rebates will be paid out through the available funding. In the past, the funding has run out mid-year.

    If funds are not available at the time of your application, you may still apply and be placed on a rebate waitlist. Rebates for approved applications on the waitlist will be issued if additional funding from the state of California becomes available. If funds are available at the time you submitted your application, your rebate amount will be reserved when you apply online.

    While there is always the chance that additional funding will not be approved, the likelyhood is that it will be. If the funding runs out, you just end up waiting longer for the rebate.

    Clean Vehicle Rebate Project
     
  18. Dogwhistle

    Dogwhistle Member

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    It’ll be Blue with Sport Wheels.
     
  19. crackers8199

    crackers8199 Member

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    i'll be interested to see if/when they open the ability to get pre-approved up to the entire state (vs currently just san diego county). that should help some of us, if it's any time soon...
     

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