Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Sticky Request: Guide to Ordering a Model Y in 2021

Apr 13, 2021
292
406
Colorado
Hello, would be great if a mod could sticky this.

Purchasing a Model Y in 2021? So is the rest of the world, so buckle up!

The estimated delivery time on the order page, in your online profile, or from your SA, does not matter, and will not be accurate. The estimated delivery date from your SA, if you have one, is incorrect or ill-informed, or just a lie so you'll stop emailing/texting/calling them. The data tells us the truth. Read on:

85% of Tesla's Model Y deliveries, for whatever reason, take place in the final month of each quarter. This has been proven by the Model Y production cycle for over a year. You can see this yourself by looking at the other stickied post and looking at delivery dates.

Placing an order at the beginning of a fiscal quarter will, 85% of the time, get you a delivery date in the final month of that quarter, no matter what configuration you've ordered.

Placing an order in the middle of a fiscal quarter does the same thing, no matter your order configuration.

Placing an order in the final month of the quarter is a bit of a toss-up. You may get a same-month delivery, but more likely, will end up in the middle of the next quarter, or at the end of the next quarter.

Your config does matter a little. Choosing to skip the Tow Hitch, 7 seats, and non-common colors ensures delivery a little closer to the beginning of the final month of each quarter. You'll more likely be at the end of the final month of the quarter if you have a more complex config.

You can get lucky and snipe inventory cars that are placed into inventory after having been rejected for delivery by other customers who are waiting as well, who, after refusing delivery because of major QC issues (other threads detail the panel gap problems and other hundred issues) have been forced to the back of the line by Tesla because the demand for these cars is so strong that it doesn't matter to them. Or, snipe an old config demo vehicle that has been abused for 500-1,500 miles by other customers. It is also possible that you are getting a cancelled vehicle that had reached production - thanks user @swheat6345

Feel free to dive into the spreadsheet with 1500+ data points that prove this out. Mods, would be great to give this a sticky so we can have fewer angry customers.
 
Last edited:

BryanMT

Member
Jul 31, 2020
13
37
Montana
Placing an order in the middle of a fiscal quarter does the same thing, no matter your order configuration.
I think that this quarter will be an interesting one that challenges this established notion. With the record Q1, and the continuing growth in demand combined with the indications that vehicles could take up to 12 weeks to be delivered and that Q2 production is all accounted for, I wouldn't be surprised if a decent number of cars ordered in the month of May didn't get delivered by end of June.

Hopefully not though! Also, this is a good idea, I just ordered mine a week ago, and seeing this type of high-level overview would have helped me wrap my head around things.
 
Apr 22, 2017
192
165
Denver, Colorado
I think that this quarter will be an interesting one that challenges this established notion. With the record Q1, and the continuing growth in demand combined with the indications that vehicles could take up to 12 weeks to be delivered and that Q2 production is all accounted for, I wouldn't be surprised if a decent number of cars ordered in the month of May didn't get delivered by end of June.

Hopefully not though! Also, this is a good idea, I just ordered mine a week ago, and seeing this type of high-level overview would have helped me wrap my head around things.

Does Q2 end in June for Tesla? are they on a regular calendar cycle? I ordered this past week for MYP and getting estimates for 6/20-6/30
 

MobileCortex

Member
Jun 16, 2021
10
5
Bothell, WA
Does Q2 end in June for Tesla? are they on a regular calendar cycle? I ordered this past week for MYP and getting estimates for 6/20-6/30
I believe Q2 ends in June, yep. We also ordered a MY a couple of weeks back. Tesla account showed estimated delivery start out Aug - Sep, then for about a week or so jumped around a bit but roughly 6/14 - 6/30 range, then suddenly jumped last weekend out to Aug - Sep, then BACK to 6/17 - 6/30, and now it’s held steady at “September” for a few days. My SA says he sees estimated delivery for 8/13. It all seems wildly random to me. I’m still holding out hope for delivery before end of quarter, but I should probably put it out of my mind and be patient…
 
  • Like
Reactions: sunshine3200

King86

Member
Jun 17, 2021
19
21
Burbank, CA
I ordered a 7-Seater MY with a tow hitch in blue, right at the beginning of May. Estimated delivery had been jumping around a little bit, but was mostly holding steading within the range of June 14-30th. Yesterday, that changed to July 03-23rd and has stayed the same this morning. Hoping it still arrives by the end of this month, but with a "more complicated" configuration and the fact they seem to be slammed with orders, I'm just hoping that I get it before September at this point!
 

MobileCortex

Member
Jun 16, 2021
10
5
Bothell, WA
I ordered a 7-Seater MY with a tow hitch in blue, right at the beginning of May. Estimated delivery had been jumping around a little bit, but was mostly holding steading within the range of June 14-30th. Yesterday, that changed to July 03-23rd and has stayed the same this morning. Hoping it still arrives by the end of this month, but with a "more complicated" configuration and the fact they seem to be slammed with orders, I'm just hoping that I get it before September at this point!
Yeah, good point. Before September would be nice :)

When we ordered our M3 back in Sep 2019, the lead time was something like 3-6 weeks…long-ish, but we ended up getting the car less than 2 weeks after ordering it. So who knows!
 

tata

Member
Jun 17, 2021
12
23
new orleans
Mine has shifted around several times and is now expected in September. With that being said, for any September deliveries, would we possibly expect the 2022 model? I do believe Tesla refreshes the year model in September
 

MobileCortex

Member
Jun 16, 2021
10
5
Bothell, WA
Mine has shifted around several times and is now expected in September. With that being said, for any September deliveries, would we possibly expect the 2022 model? I do believe Tesla refreshes the year model in September
Not sure…the only data point I have here is my 2019 M3, delivered in sept 2019. I was under the impression that they shift the year approx with the calendar year (unlike typical car manufacturers).
 

MobileCortex

Member
Jun 16, 2021
10
5
Bothell, WA
An
I believe Q2 ends in June, yep. We also ordered a MY a couple of weeks back. Tesla account showed estimated delivery start out Aug - Sep, then for about a week or so jumped around a bit but roughly 6/14 - 6/30 range, then suddenly jumped last weekend out to Aug - Sep, then BACK to 6/17 - 6/30, and now it’s held steady at “September” for a few days. My SA says he sees estimated delivery for 8/13. It all seems wildly random to me. I’m still holding out hope for delivery before end of quarter, but I should probably put it out of my mind and be patient…
And now I’m back to delivery showing by June 30?! Tesla is toying with my emotions!
 

Trip McNealy

Member
Jun 21, 2021
89
45
New Jersey
Thank you for posting this sticky!

I hope to be in a Model Y LR prior to November when my lease is up. By logic of reading the above, that means I should place an order this July or August and would get delivery in/end of September. I am just waiting to see what the EV rebates will be like in New Jersey since they just announced the refresh of the Clean Energy budget.
 
  • Like
Reactions: sunshine3200

a1machinista1

MY5 5/24 wh/blk 19" tow-- MSLR 6/1 MSM/blk 19"
Apr 12, 2019
842
635
oregon
I ordered a 7-Seater MY with a tow hitch in blue, right at the beginning of May. Estimated delivery had been jumping around a little bit, but was mostly holding steading within the range of June 14-30th. Yesterday, that changed to July 03-23rd and has stayed the same this morning. Hoping it still arrives by the end of this month, but with a "more complicated" configuration and the fact they seem to be slammed with orders, I'm just hoping that I get it before September at this point!
Delivery yet?
 

Products we're discussing on TMC...

About Us

Formed in 2006, Tesla Motors Club (TMC) was the first independent online Tesla community. Today it remains the largest and most dynamic community of Tesla enthusiasts. Learn more.

Do you value your experience at TMC? Consider becoming a Supporting Member of Tesla Motors Club. As a thank you for your contribution, you'll get nearly no ads in the Community and Groups sections. Additional perks are available depending on the level of contribution. Please visit the Account Upgrades page for more details.


SUPPORT TMC
Top