OK, I was kind of hung up on all the discussion of arcing above.That's what is called a high-resistance "glowing" connection, and likely wouldn't have tripped AFCI, either. AFCI's search for an arc signature. In this case, this is just a high current going through a high resistance connection.
Looking back at the first page, the 14-50R clearly got pretty hot (deformed plastic), but the blackened pin on the 14-50P make me think there was some arcing involved. No? Would glowing give you that charring without arcing?