And don't give me that "take a flask line
Blast ... I was just typing that
I'm too disorganised to even remember to take my own cup for a discount ...
Tesla are 20p per kWh at present I think
24p according to Tesla website (which isn't renound for being accurate
). But I think?? that is "into battery" rather than "from the stall", so might be 20p-equivalent-home-charge ?
I don't see supercharger numbers quadrupling in that time.
Devils advocate: I've been the only car charging at 8+ stall Superchargers on many occasions, and I can't remember the last time I had to "pair". Not the same as "worst case / at peak" of course ...
I'm also not sure how new fleet of Model-3's compares to existing fleet of Model-S/X
Existing owners have a high %age of free supercharger use. I never hurry to leave when Supercharging - if my journey plan is to arrive with 10% i typically wait until I have 20% arrival-SOC-predicted "just to be sure". I see people on the phone / emailing etc. they may well be filling up way past what they actually need. People may be more thoughtful when they are paying.
On busy sites in USA Supercharging is restricted to 80% SoC, and overstay charges are charged. I have no idea how many people are filling above 80% at present - not me, I value my time more, but I have a big battery, folk with e.g. 75 kWh may be needing to charge 80+% to reach destination.
Also: will Mr and Mrs Average Model-3 Owner be out of range often (compared to Model-S/X owner)? I Supercharge 10% of my miles ... maybe that is a lot more than future Model-3 owners will? LR M3 has better range than 75kWh Model-S/X I think?
And Model-3 owners can charge at any CCS site of course ... as Ionity etc. roll out good solutions that will spread the load. You may choose more on convenience of location of charger, and/or facilities nearby, than giving Tesla your custom?
Supercharger is a big USP for Tesla. I have no idea how they have afforded it, but I don't see them slowing down. Ionity is messing around installing 4-stall sites. Tesla haven't opened a 4 stall site in UK for 4 years !!
Existing Superchargers have been modified to charge 15% (I think??) faster. Cars have been modified OTA to pre-heat battery so that they charge at optimal speed immediate on arrival, another 10-15% ... so that reduced the dwell-time.
And Supercharger V3 is coming, so new sites may have those - even shorter dwell times
Not sure about Rep. For travelling salesman (1hour+ at every stop) winter range will be terrible
For anyone worried about it then stick it in the Man maths justification for a bigger battery