I am super excited about my Model 3 and it seems like most articles I read about the Tax Credits has been wrong and people keep spreading rumors that most Model 3 buyers won't get it. I totally think that most buyers WILL get some Tax Credit. Below is my breakdown. Once Tesla delivers its 200,000th vehicle in the US, then the Phaseout process starts. It does not just end but there is a 15 month phaseout process. Pre-Phaseout: The CALENDAR QUARTER that the 200,000th vehicle is sold in is entitled to the FULL $7500 tax credit. Phaseout Part 1: After the end of the Pre-Phaseout Quarter, then the IRS give you ANOTHER CALENDAR QUARTER (3 months) with the FULL $7500 tax credit. Phaseout Part 2: After the end of Phaseout Part 1, there are TWO QUARTERS (6 months) with a redued 50% tax credit (that is $3,750). Phaseout Part 3: After the end of Phaseout Part 2, there are TWO MORE QUARTERS (6 months) with a reduce 25% tax credit (that is $1,875) Then bye bye tax credits. So there is literally 15 months plus the original quarter the 200,000th car is delivered on. I am pretty darn sure Tesla will attempt to deliver their 200,000th vehicle very very close to the Model 3 release. There is literally 15 months of tax credits for Model 3 owners. Here are my sources (very reliable as it is from the government themselves with clear examples): 1. Federal Tax Credits for All-Electric and Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles ^^Scroll to the bottom and READ the PHASEOUT SECTION 2. Elon Musk tweeted on Monday, April 4, 2016 "Our production ramp should enable a large number of non X/S customers to receive the credit". Another twitter user suggested to Elon that he slow down production so that the delivery of the Model 3 falls right on the 200,000th vehicle Elon Musk replied " We always try to maximize customer happiness even if that means a revenue shortfall in a quarter. Loyalty begets loyalty." ^^ I think it is pretty clear that Elon Musk will make sure that most Model 3 buyers get some tax credit. Attached are some screenshots that validate my analysis. Anyways...just thought I would help spread TRUTH instead of rumors. If you know someone who thinks they won't get the tax credit, please have them review this article.