Tesla’s Production out look for Q2 is not Bad, but not Glowing either. First where we are today. We know they did 200/day in the third week of March. That is 1400 for that week. Then Elon says 2000 for this last week. They were behind on some deliveries because they overloaded the delivery process in the last week of March. They are behind on adjusting cars into the correct My Tesla Accounts. I expect there are other simple things that they have let slip in the urgency to push out as many cars as they did. There are some quality issues that they have bandaided. An example is changing out charging ports that had water leaks. I expect they are now low on supply of this part and others. Having said all of this they did a great job pushing past the 2018Q1 production hell. They have learned a lot about pushing the speed of production and about pushing the volume of cars through the delivery process. But Production Hell does not stop. it only changes as the volumes go up. Also note that we have not seen a large batch of invitations in a while, and that the new VIN registration levels are still at 2000/week rather than a higher level. My expectation is that Tesla will stay at production volumes between 1400 and 2000 a week for all of April and most of May. They need that time to implement fixes to the processes that they found in the end of Q1 push. In addition Tesla is trying to exit 2018Q2 at a total US cars delivered around 199,9xx. That may mean less focus on production line volumes for all of Q2 and instead a focus on fixing all the root causes of all the problems so that they can do high volumes in Q3 and Q4 when the $7500 tax credit is in play.