I would be surprised if it was even that good. They encourage safety drivers to disengage all the time. In their paper they state that more than 99.9% of disengagements were not necessary to avoid a collision. When operating without a safety driver I imagine they call for remote assistance quite often.Waymo fudges their data by driving easier and easier routes. Any routes that increase risk of disengagement or cause problems will be avoided.
JJRicks’ disengagement rate is generously 1 per 500 miles.
Watching current beta FSD videos I can confidently say that they're nowhere near 1 contact event per 100k miles yet. I suppose Tesla would have to provide the counterfactual simulation results to prove this definitively.
Waymo never hit a fixed object or left the road in 6.1 million miles so I would say yes.Aren't contact events only very loosely correlated with the route chosen, by their very nature?