Technically I am. But the moderators opinion of my posts and my own are irreconcilable so continuing to post is not in the interest of the forum nor myself. Thanks for the kind words @SBenson, that feeling is absolutely mutual. I continue to read the forum and I look forward to your future contributions while still (occasionally) participating in the non-investor parts of the forum.
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Technically I am. But the moderators opinion of my posts and my own are irreconcilable so continuing to post is not in the interest of the forum nor myself. Thanks for the kind words @SBenson, that feeling is absolutely mutual. I continue to read the forum and I look forward to your future contributions while still (occasionally) participating in the non-investor parts of the forum.
FlatSix911
Porsche 918 Hybrid
Troy, be careful, the numbers for France are wrong. Unfortunately, in the site of AVERE, they put the same PDF for September than the one for July/August with 518 Model 3 delivered for example. In fact, the true numbers can be found here: http://www.avere-france.org/Uploads...5797c6f2da9224c4-barometre septembre 2019.pdf.
As you can see, in September, 1061 Tesla Model 3 were delivered in France and 69 Model X (the number of Model S was not given).
As you can see, in September, 1061 Tesla Model 3 were delivered in France and 69 Model X (the number of Model S was not given).
@schonelucht, you are still welcome to submit or approve entries on the Google Sheet if you wish but no worries if you don't want to. I started using Twitter more often recently. I usually tweet about Tesla delivery estimates. You can find me here. You could try Twitter if you are not already using it.
@Atlantis, where did you find the correct file for September registrations in France? I looked around but couldn't find it. It could be useful in the future.
@Atlantis, where did you find the correct file for September registrations in France? I looked around but couldn't find it. It could be useful in the future.
I found this link in an article from a french site of car news that I don't remember the name anymore. Sorry.
Math on Spain October 2019:
Model 3 January to October totals as per the latest official data: 1454
Model 3 January to September totals as per our table: 1431
Model 3 October 2019 sales = 1454-1431= 23
Tesla total sales in October were: 40
40-Model 3 = S+X = 40-23=17
Estimate: 17= 9 Model S + 8 Model X
Final entry:
23 model 3
9 Model S
8 Model X
Model 3 January to October totals as per the latest official data: 1454
Model 3 January to September totals as per our table: 1431
Model 3 October 2019 sales = 1454-1431= 23
Tesla total sales in October were: 40
40-Model 3 = S+X = 40-23=17
Estimate: 17= 9 Model S + 8 Model X
Final entry:
23 model 3
9 Model S
8 Model X
Austria October:
Official registration data does not list Model X so we have to do some math:
Model 3 Jan-Oct registrations: 2060, Oct regs: 25
Model S Jan-Oct regs: 313; Jan-Sept: 292 -> Oct regs: 21
Tesla Jan-Oct: Total 2566 - 2060 Model 3 - 313 Model S -> 193 Model X
Model X Jan-Oct: 193 - 186 TMC Model X Jan-Sept -> Oct regs: 7
Official registration data does not list Model X so we have to do some math:
Model 3 Jan-Oct registrations: 2060, Oct regs: 25
Model S Jan-Oct regs: 313; Jan-Sept: 292 -> Oct regs: 21
Tesla Jan-Oct: Total 2566 - 2060 Model 3 - 313 Model S -> 193 Model X
Model X Jan-Oct: 193 - 186 TMC Model X Jan-Sept -> Oct regs: 7
The Q3 numbers for the UK have been published on the gov.uk website today. The numbers are:
Model 3 -- 5350
Model S -- 256
Model X -- 366
and 2 cars categorised as "model missing", as usual.
If one of you could update the table to reflect these numbers, it would be great. Also, can someone share the formula to calculate the monthly distribution based on quarterly numbers and (I imagine) the SMMT monthly reports for "other imports"? I might have seen it before but can't remember where...
Model 3 -- 5350
Model S -- 256
Model X -- 366
and 2 cars categorised as "model missing", as usual.
If one of you could update the table to reflect these numbers, it would be great. Also, can someone share the formula to calculate the monthly distribution based on quarterly numbers and (I imagine) the SMMT monthly reports for "other imports"? I might have seen it before but can't remember where...
Congrats @Troy it looks like your formula is still pretty good in the Model 3 era! Total was 5972, vs. the estimated 6244. That's within 5%.
I've confirmed and added the numbers, please validate/approve.
@Chocochip Thanks for the reminder!
@Chocochip, @mrdoubleb, thanks for helping with the UK numbers. Let me add a screenshot and link for easy reference:
Screenshot source: https://assets.publishing.service.g...loads/attachment_data/file/853466/veh0161.ods
The quarterly numbers are divided into monthly numbers using the method explained here.
Screenshot source: https://assets.publishing.service.g...loads/attachment_data/file/853466/veh0161.ods
The quarterly numbers are divided into monthly numbers using the method explained here.
Hahaaa, the irony! Thank you for the link, @Troy , that's what I was looking for! And that's the link I found 5 minutes ago on this thread, several pages back, after spending roughly 1.5 hours looking for it! Next time I'll just wait...
As it may take a couple of days for civil servants at statics offices to get back to their offices and we are eagerly awaiting 2019 sales data, I have added Dutch, Norwegian and Spanish December sales figures based on eu-evs.com as a temporary figure (in yellow/as estimates). Once we get the official sources posting the numbers I'll come back in and replace these.
I've pulled the Q4 numbers on the site and deducted our October + November actuals to get December. Spain is technically missing December 31, but the difference should be minor - I don't expect any midnight deliveries there like in Fremont.
Netherlands:
Model 3: 16289-4277=12012
Model S: 316-79=237
Model X: 272-81=191
Norway:
Model 3: 1775-574=1201
Model S: 71-42=29
Model X: 185-98=87
Spain:
Model 3: 259-92=167
Model S: 36-16=20
Model X: 48-19=29
EDIT:
With Denmark this is 14657 cars for Europe in December and 25794 for the quarter so far.
I've pulled the Q4 numbers on the site and deducted our October + November actuals to get December. Spain is technically missing December 31, but the difference should be minor - I don't expect any midnight deliveries there like in Fremont.
Netherlands:
Model 3: 16289-4277=12012
Model S: 316-79=237
Model X: 272-81=191
Norway:
Model 3: 1775-574=1201
Model S: 71-42=29
Model X: 185-98=87
Spain:
Model 3: 259-92=167
Model S: 36-16=20
Model X: 48-19=29
EDIT:
With Denmark this is 14657 cars for Europe in December and 25794 for the quarter so far.
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