Has anyone mentioned that Tesla will likely ask folk to wear a hat with 8 cameras whilst doing tasks to record their work? - creates video clips and allows the Bot to practice shadow mode.
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Sorry all I could see when he announced that is $$$ in future Tesla stock. God, I am sure glad to be a shareholder.
Might be wrong video, he did 2 due to tech issues - click on link & check out other videos by Warren to see 2nd James Douma videoWarren is talking a lot about the bot in the first hour:
You're thinking of motion-capture for movie making. Production robots won't need separate training for planning their movements, it's the perception of the world around them, aka computer-vision that will need to be trained in the NNs, hence will need gobs of training data.Has anyone mentioned that Tesla will likely ask folk to wear a hat with 8 cameras whilst doing tasks to record their work? - creates video clips and allows the Bot to practice shadow mode.
What a great idea.I've also been wondering how long it would take to throw a Tesla robot into a Tesla car and train it to learn to mimic the cars FSD driving choices based on its own visual inputs from mirrors. Not so it could drive a Tesla, but so it could drive a non-tesla. I feel like it could beat most other companies to market with their own in built in FSD.
Something similar to this is already going onWhat a great idea.
In fact a Tesla robot critter could in theory pilot any vehicle.
Current big airliner auto-pilots can fly the airplane better than most human pilots.
Integrating all FSD into Tesla robot dude, moveable from vehicle to vehicle opens whole new landscapes of possibilities.
While this is true, what I was suggesting is that having a vehicle with autopilot and a robot with a connection that it could use to learn how the mirrors correlate to what FSD is seeing would probably make it easy to rapidly leverage a teslas mirrors and FSD to train a robot to be able to interpret the visual input of car mirrors the same way the cars built in camera system relatively easily.What a great idea.
In fact a Tesla robot critter could in theory pilot any vehicle.
Current big airliner auto-pilots can fly the airplane better than most human pilots.
Integrating all FSD into Tesla robot dude, moveable from vehicle to vehicle opens whole new landscapes of possibilities.
All who are evaluating the probability of a Tesla robot soon, here is the 2 week straw man report.All,
I am no robot expert. But a straw-man vetting model to see how fast Tesla could make a humanoid robot if they wanted to leverage their optically coupled AI engine to control hand motions made sense for an investor forum. When I have significant financial investments, I need to do a plausibility test on claims out of due diligence.
Comments about robots do not belong in the investment forum, so this post is a comment anchor for the investing forum vetting post.
There are links to background posts when trying to sort out the motors and the humanoid part - they are ponderings. Then the images from the last post will be in this post to mover further conversation here.
This is the most important one as it defines humanoid: your post
This one takes the humanoid definition of a forearm, makes a surface model the arm and locates disc motors that look like pulley wheels on 2 stator (stationary) shafts. The larger diameter motors rotate to pull tendons that run up the inside of the wrist. The shaft with only small diameter motors is for pulleys that pass into the back of the hand. The shafts are displaced to match the muscle bulk distribution in an human forearm: your post
This one shows how to aggregate all hand, finger and lateral wrist information into a single camera image for the AI engine process. Really the important one for time to market. IFF they can't do it all with feedback from the motors: your post
Here is the anchoring text:
Here is my guess on the fast way to catch the rocket to Mars:
A couple of points:
- Shape from HumanScale so the robot can be produced and sold at scale AND work wherever Dreyfuss did the Industrial Design - Telephones, WWII tanks, and most other WWII military equipment, anything John Deere or Sears Roebuck - everything except cars [Detroit froze him out in a familiar story] Henry Dreyfuss - Wikipedia
- Feet from India
- Bow legs from Texas to provide a lot of knee motion to balance on largely passive feet
- Dynema Tendons from the Netherlands Dyneema® Fiber
- Gorilla glass wrists modeled after the Zurich Train Station in Switzerland, shown here mostly in Dupont Cappuccino Craze as it rendered better than camera black.
1) Internal illumination is needed inside the hermetically sealed optical cavity. The outside of the glass is painted, except for the bottoms of the grooves that the Dynema tendons run in that are ground smooth.
2) The camera folks have to have a chance to be successful. The optical path goes from the marker on the tendon off a mirrored surface on the wide end of the optical cavity toward the elbow, and then back to the cameras on the wrist end of the optical cavity. All the visual information for the entire hand is presented off that back face for both the redundant cameras to collect and send on to the AI processor. There are 3 chances for lens actions to help: the glass wall immediately under the the tendon, the mirrored back wall of the cavity, and the camera lens itself. The long path should help make the camera lens design a center of the process window activity.
3) It is a clamshell design with two mirrored parts that fit perfectly into the surface modeled forearm from the previous post, but since I don't know how to do internal illumination, most of these pictures are with one half removed to use ambient illumination.
And though the camera's eye. The back plate angle may need some adjustment, if not curvature. Could probably dolly the rendering camera all the way into the glass, but it would make even less sense than this one.
I don't know if they even need this. A hand full of hypodermic needle shaped motors with accordion dust seals on the tendons to keep dust away from the encoders (or whatever feedback the motor can provide) seems cleaner.
But the Zurich Train Station Optical Cavity can work (with reasonable signal to noise?) and intrinsically aggregates all the information about hand position sensing in one nice clean camera signal.
You are feeding the AI engine what it now wants to eat.
Easy-peazy.
In time for Mars, without massive cursing.
This is what I heard at the AI presentation and it needed to be vetted in 1 week.
Thank you all for the help.
The winch tailing idea will likely be replaced with a magnetic material type clutch that allows different tendons to actuate by clutching onto the big motor by different amounts. So the control function will be motor speed (and direction) with tendons controlled by electronically controlling the coupling function on a tendon by tendon basis. This will not allow the robot to drink tea with the pinkie out past neutral. This obvious lack of ability should put people at ease with their human superiority.All who are evaluating the probability of a Tesla robot soon, here is the 2 week straw man report.
A key to meeting dates is the ability to take hard, long-interval stuff off the critical path. People have specifically mentioned hands in the case of the Tesla robot.
There is an exoskeleton vs internal skeleton argument and this decision does not have to apply to the whole robot in the same way. The fast path in this proposal is an exoskeleton for the lower forearm. This provides lots of room for the motive power that articulates the hand.
This lower forearm is attached to the upper forearm with essentially a motor spindle that is shaped like a steerer tube that connects the handlebars to the front fork on a modern bicycle. A modern, threadless, steerer tube is 1.5 inches in diameter at the fork end and 1.125 inches in diameter at the handlebar end to provide reasonable strength and stiffness with a relatively short head tube on the bicycle frame.
Here is a link to a Cane Creek headset finder web page that explains the standard bearing sets that support the steering mechanism on modern bikes that would be used to attach the lower forearm and associated hand to the rest of the robot. Everything You Need To Know About Headsets - Cane Creek
Since the motor spindle/steerer-tube has to be almost 1 inch hollow, a second tube or wires covered with anti chafe can be run though the spindle to power the hand. This SolidWorks model shows a non contact wireless power transfer ferrite disk at the lower end of the steerer. This would allow the lower forearm to spin like a drill with no limit to number of rotations.
This eliminates regrasps if turning a threaded nut, and turns that arm of that robot into a CNC milling machine, which could be useful on Mars. You would use long bits and a socket recess at the base of the hand.
Most arms would use wireless control, something like ANT, to make changing an arm a 1) plug in the power, 2) insert the steerer, 3) tighten the collar procedure. Since the steerer is a spindle, a key (or keyway) would be added between the 1.5 inch end and the 1.125 end. So the step in bearing sizes works out well. Also note: The steerer is formed from the clamshell halves of the lower forearm exoskeleton. The forearm is, of course, made of die cast aluminum. This means the key, or keyway, is easy and formed at the parting line with no additional operations. Modern sealed headset bearings come with their own races that make operation smooth and are strong enough to bridge small gaps in the structural elements that supports them. In other words, this will work. I put small gaps in the bearing race support structure all they time by using a cut off wheel to slit crown races to eliminate a press fit operation each time I change forks. In this case the "crown race" geometry would be part of the die cast lower exoskeleton arm.
View attachment 704589
So the summary is:
What I am trying to do is pace the team, anticipating decisions based on Elon's stated goals. This is a snapshot of the 2 week mark.
- Elon talkes about replaceable arms.
- Wireless communication (and sometimes power) support that vision.
- An exoskeleton using standard bicycle steerer tube bearings supports the mechanical part of that vision.
From here there are branches on lower arm design to guarantee the date is met. The current exploration path for me is:
- Back of hand tendons controlled by lightly sprung and damped stack of bobbins on a common shaft almost touching the glass wrist.
- One large diameter motor that acts like winch drum on a large sailboat. If you think like the magnetic gap is a shear layer that will support a certain psi, you want the concentric drums that form the magnetic gap have as much area as possible.
- A spring that makes the zero torque position of the fingers like a human's, slightly closed. The motor runs one way to open the hand and the other direction to close the hand.
- Small "tailing motors" that control how much the large drum influences the position of the fingers as communicated by the optical Zurick train station wrist. Depending on finger strength needed there could be multiple tendon wraps on the large motor drum, and perhaps a stepped drum surface with high force tendons wrapping on a smaller diameter. This gives your magnetic-gap-limited-force more leverage to meet the strength specifications. Likely a ratchet in there somewhere for safety. Sailing Winch Secrets: How To Use a Winch | Life of Sailing
So Elon and his team are right on track to meet the date with some sort of arm. Maybe a good inexpensive arm with a finite service life. Good thing these arms are light weight and robotically replaceable. So extra arms will be on the Starship, just like having extra shoes for special occasions, and because they do wear out - even though you wish they would last longer...
The winch tailing idea will likely be replaced with a magnetic material type clutch that allows different tendons to actuate by clutching onto the big motor by different amounts. So the control function will be motor speed (and direction) with tendons controlled by electronically controlling the coupling function on a tendon by tendon basis. This will not allow the robot to drink tea with the pinkie out past neutral. This obvious lack of ability should put people at ease with their human superiority.
There are several reasons:Why wouldn't each tendon have it's own actuator? A general purpose AI bot would need fidelity and dexterity in it's fingers to do any task a human can do, such as cooking or fine detail construction like installing bolts or such, right?