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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

gabeincal

HODLer / Theta seller
Jul 5, 2016
1,095
5,814
SF Bay, CA
Forgive my amateur question but how do all the stocks on my watch list magically stop dropping at the same time...?

94D98BB9-5D1C-4B9E-A781-B45CC107CA3E.png
 

StarFoxisDown!

Active Member
Jan 23, 2019
2,221
15,977
Seattle
I love whenever there's sell off in tesla, people keep posting lower "i set my buy order XX price". Hope you guys get lucky but like many, many times in the past, lots of people missed out because the stock reversed hard before ever coming close to filling their order.

Nasdaq just completed its 10% drop over the 2 day span and is already recovering a bit. Tesla continues to show decent strength relative to the NASDAQ
 

StealthP3D

Well-Known Member
Dec 12, 2018
8,666
63,787
Maple Falls, WA
Logic does not apply to the stock market. Trying to understand it is as hard as landing a rocket on a barge, it requires a unique set of talents which we lack.

I think your example implies that market behavior could be mapped and understood in a similar manner that the physics behind landing a rocket can be. My investing performance (in terms of choosing when to enter or exit a position) increased greatly once I came to the conclusion the market is not predictable in a consistent manner, like that of a rocket landing. It has periods of chaos and is best thought of in terms of chaos theory. It lends itself to mentally surrendering to it and thinking of it in terms of unpredictable rhythms (I know that doesn't make sense, that's the point here).

How to "surrender" to it? Stop trying to rationalize it's behavior and realize it is a wild, unpredictable beast. This is not to say one cannot improve their performance. It's simply saying that performance improves when one stops trying to make rational sense of it and, instead, goes with the rhythm of the market. I believe that even if you are really good at doing that, it still is unpredictable at key times.

The longer the planned term of your investment, the less this matters.
 

Sofie

Member
Jul 31, 2020
191
899
Florida
I think your example implies that market behavior could be mapped and understood in a similar manner that the physics behind landing a rocket can be. My investing performance (in terms of choosing when to enter or exit a position) increased greatly once I came to the conclusion the market is not predictable in a consistent manner, like that of a rocket landing. It has periods of chaos and is best thought of in terms of chaos theory. It lends itself to mentally surrendering to it and thinking of it in terms of unpredictable rhythms (I know that doesn't make sense, that's the point here).

How to "surrender" to it? Stop trying to rationalize it's behavior and realize it is a wild, unpredictable beast. This is not to say one cannot improve their performance. It's simply saying that performance improves when one stops trying to make rational sense of it and, instead, goes with the rhythm of the market. I believe that even if you are really good at doing that, it still is unpredictable at key times.

The longer the planned term of your investment, the less this matters.
This is why I treat my TD Ameritrade account as my savings account lol. I just put my paycheck in and buy TSLA weekly (every time I get paid or obtain money).
I’m not smart enough to time the market to such minuscule degree. :D Plus, not staring at the ticker all day makes it feel like less of a “big deal” in my life when it bounces all around like an emotional roller coaster.
 

Right_Said_Fred

Moderator
May 11, 2012
3,745
30,289
The Netherlands
I think your example implies that market behavior could be mapped and understood in a similar manner that the physics behind landing a rocket can be. My investing performance (in terms of choosing when to enter or exit a position) increased greatly once I came to the conclusion the market is not predictable in a consistent manner, like that of a rocket landing. It has periods of chaos and is best thought of in terms of chaos theory. It lends itself to mentally surrendering to it and thinking of it in terms of unpredictable rhythms (I know that doesn't make sense, that's the point here).

How to "surrender" to it? Stop trying to rationalize it's behavior and realize it is a wild, unpredictable beast. This is not to say one cannot improve their performance. It's simply saying that performance improves when one stops trying to make rational sense of it and, instead, goes with the rhythm of the market. I believe that even if you are really good at doing that, it still is unpredictable at key times.

The longer the planned term of your investment, the less this matters.

That was actually what I was trying to convey: market movements often don't make sense, making them very hard to predict. Landing a rocket on a barge was not a good example.
 

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