If the Roadrunner / Bty day roadmap goes according to plan, we
CAN do this by ourselves (if necessary): 3 TWh of btys by 2030 is the current goal, but if necessary that exponential growth can be maintained for another decade (the business model supports it).
So instead of 3 TWh/yr by 2030, the new goal becomes 20 TWh/yr by 2040. BTW, that's a comfortable CAGR of just 20.9% in the 2030s. Easy-peasy.
OTOH, if Tesla can maintain it's
50% CAGR, then it only takes
3.3 yrs to go
from 3 TWh/yr to 20 TWh/yr capacity (people don't 'get' exponential growth).
By 2050 (target date of the
Paris Agreement for Net Zero carbon emissions), we're more than half-way through the replacement of the fossil fleet, because all the vehicles Tesla builds before 2030 are steadily chipping away at the magic number. And "Robotaxi" lessens the number of total EVs that are needed to completely replace the fossil fleet.
BTW, by 'fossil fleet', I mean to
include all gas and coal-fired peaker plants, baseload grid generation, ships at sea, and commercial aircraft. 2050 isn't a drop-dead timeframe, and even then there will be plenty more hard work to do on mitigation before 2100. But this gives our Grandchildren a fighting chance instead of handing them an irretrievably broken climate and the miserable future that entails.
So for the
fossil fools, it's truly, "
Lead, Follow, or Get the Eff outta da way!"
See the light, or be
blind-sided.
Their choice.