If Porsche Taycan serves as an example, it is obvious that there is a very healthy market for a non-Tesla very expensive car. There are several others introduction now and more coming soon from Ferrari, Maserati, plus the Rimac brands. The only question is whether there is a profitable niche for Lucid. The jury is out, but early indications are not seeming good for Lucid, Fisker and their ilk, any more than they were for Delorean, Bricklin or the others back to Kaiser and Frazer. Their common traits were good publicity, absence of technological superiority and, in every case, unexceptional engineering talent applied to manufacturing. Kaiser, if anyone, should have been able to achieve success but they were imitators, not innovators.I think there is a small niche that Lucid has carved out, "high end EV that is not a Tesla".
There is room in the market for all, but I wonder if Lucid is making money on each car, how much cash they are burning, and how much debt they are accumulating,
The really hard thing Tesla did was "Production Hell" and the Model 3 ramp. What Lucid is doing now isn't very good preparation for tackling that kind of challenge.,
It is very interesting to crunch the numbers on how much capital Tesla raised, how much debt they had prior to the Model 3 ramp and compare that to their cash and debt position now.
If Lucid was going to attempt something like the Model 3 ramp, there is a lot more competition, including competition from Tesla. It may be harder to raise capital or take o n debt at good prices. The Lucid needs to attract the staff, source the parts, raw materials and machinery, at a time when many other car companies are attempting to do the same thing.
Could Lucid make their niche "high end EV that is not a Tesla" work?
IMO what they need is clarity of vision, and sticking to their core products and their core market. The ship has sailed on mass market EVs for now, Don't chase the wrong dream at the wrong time. Keep a tight focus and do one thing exceptionally well, stay at the "high end".
Every time we see a "Tesla competitor" just examine their engineering talent applied to production. Then look at the efficiency of their designs. In that context, look at the teardown of such successes as the Ford F150 electric, Chevrolet Bolt or any other such example.
Until someone shows serious manufacturing excellence and design efficiency we will not have convincing competition...except for the stratospherically expensive ones.
Lucid, Rivian, GM, Ford all cannot become profitable for BEV's until and unless they learn to design and build for efficiency and manufacturing.
I suggest there conceivably could be an exception among those that use suppliers such as Magna, which has developed EV specific platforms. Maybe, just maybe, they could help break the pattern of failure among their customers which make BEV models.