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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

Tim S

Supporting Member
Feb 5, 2019
774
7,479
Albany NY
EP.0 on Podcast only.
In terms of price who knows, but 350.51 I believe was the lowest print on 3/18. Given that fact and now so many people who missed is looking for that 350 buy again, the chances is low that it will get to that exact #. well if market tanks... than even 280 is possible in the current environment. There is Green stimulus package, all the buyers will probably looking for 350 again..
I say two scenarios.. price comes back close to 350 but not at 350... so say like 377.... or it will just break 350 support and tanks down lower and possibly break 300 or low 300s.

What about others? Any speculation on future price near term?
350??? 280??? My speculation is the SP will be over 500 today :)
 
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FrankSG

Active Member
Jun 27, 2019
1,608
21,264
Singapore
Yeah, IV is pretty absurd atm.

I'm considering selling some of my Jun'21 $900s, because my confidence level in them has dropped since this crisis started, and they are trading way higher than they should be right now. I bought them for $20 in January when SP was ~$490, and now with SP at $430, they're trading at $52 :eek:

That just makes no sense at all.

Ok, so when SP was $460, these Jun'21 $900s were trading for $62.

SP has risen about 10% to $510, and the options have dropped ~10% in value to $55.

Option IVs and values make no sense right now.
 

Tim S

Supporting Member
Feb 5, 2019
774
7,479
Albany NY
Ok, so when SP was $460, these Jun'21 $900s were trading for $62.

SP has risen about 10% to $510, and the options have dropped ~10% in value to $55.

Option IVs and values make no sense right now.
Yeah, I have 3 different way OTM Jan 21 calls that are down today according to ETrade, with the SP up 15% o_O

Fortunately most of my holdings are TSLA stock :)
 
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dl003

Active Member
Nov 22, 2019
1,347
11,491
Texas
I know the answer, but this is a rollercoaster, not a straight line ride.

I'm not a trader, but it's almost irresistible now. No way it closes at 500 today.
So here's the thing: are you more ok with hoping for the price to go up or hoping for it to go down?
If you sell, it's not over. You have to hold out for it to go down. You'll not be at peace.
I'm not talking you out of selling. Do whatever you're more ok with. I know that for me, my cost basis is fine now. My margin is good. I sold before and I was just as anxious as I am now and to me TSLA is the future.
 

EVMeister

Lover of Tesla
Apr 8, 2018
1,549
10,427
England
So here's the thing: are you more ok with hoping for the price to go up or hoping for it to go down?
If you sell, it's not over. You have to hold out for it to go down. You'll not be at peace.
I'm not talking you out of selling. Do whatever you're more ok with. I know that for me, my cost basis is fine now. My margin is good. I sold before and I was just as anxious as I am now and to me TSLA is the future.

Too right. I've sold shares before thinking I'd be able to wait until there's a big drop and I can buy them back at a discount. What actually ends up happening is I feel very anxious and continually on-edge about what the stock price is doing. Wondering how low it can go. Then buying them back having made only a small profit - one that's arguably not worth the stress.

But hey, everyone is different. ;)
 

LJS22

Active Member
Mar 21, 2019
1,081
7,536
Texas
All we need is good delivery numbers then it’s back to a good pre-corona range. Shorts will cover quickly, and there’s a ton of money sitting on the sidelines right now
 
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NicoV

Supporting Member
Jan 10, 2016
1,878
15,945
Zulte, Belgium
TSLA is basically copying Ford and GM. This upwards move has nothing to do with tesla specifically. Thats good news, as I expect once people see Q1 production, and Q1 financials + battery day + solar roof figures, we can go up another 15% at least.

There’s a lot more bad (not Tesla related) news to come. In Spain, the military has begun disinfection of nursing homes, and they find dead elderly people just being left behind by their caretakers. News like will create panic and despair in the financial markets. Let’s hope it doesn’t get that extreme in the USA, but I see multiple tens of percent downside.
 

Mo City

Active Member
Jul 17, 2016
1,792
10,564
near Houston
You made good speculating statements in the past. I'll will check against this one at close today
On Thursday, I went close to all-in on TSLA. Today, my IRA is nearing all-time highs and I'm getting nervous. TSLA almost always falls big after irrational jumps like this.

One of the few times my fear > FOMO.
 

ggr

Expert in Dunning-Kruger Effect!
Mar 24, 2011
6,972
27,477
San Diego, CA
I feel the need to chime in because things are really getting out of hand, and the only one profiting from it is the TSLAQ crowd (who are laughing their a** off about this voluntary mass suicide).

I think many people are completely overreacting to what has happened. Yes, maybe the mod in question overreacted, although it is not for me to make any judgment. If he did, it was likely out of frustation about the fact that so many people have been ignoring mod requests for months (I myself have given up out of the same frustration). But Karenrei imho is also overreacting by going away, and staying away. I've seen the discussion and it could have been worked out. And Factchecking went away out of solidarity, but I do not understand why he is persisting. What do they expect to accomplish? They are only hurting themselves and this community.

And now everyone here starts cancelling their subscriptions. What on earth will that accomplish?!? It only hurts the owners of this site, who are not moderators. And it will surely not change the situation. You will only hurt the TMC owners, this community and yourself. It's mass hysteria, with only one winner: TSLAQ. Everyone needs to come to your senses.
Again, the ex- or semi-mod in the advantaged time zone pretty much said what I would have said. Thanks!
 

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