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Macros flipped green so maybe we get some help today.Looks like wedgies are trying to flip the 10-day MA from support to resistance with this last minute bear raid before the Open:
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I'm hoping for he best, but worried about how FSD regulation/approval will play out.
I hope so.Macros flipped green so maybe we get some help today.
Pre Octaweb layout!This is little:
This is heavy: Falcon Heavy (business end)
Super Heavy will be out this Summer.
Cheers!
Obviously the FUD scare is to try and prevent FSD from ever turning on at all. So they're trying to anger the public, hoping for a protest no doubt. I could see something develop there, then tie it to an "Uber/Lyft jobs will Vanish" narrative. Volatility ahead.Tesla could simply turn it on (once they believe it's safe enough to do so) and let the actual results speak for themselves regarding other states and countries modifying their own regulations to also allow it.
Silly MMD question... When manipulation drives it down fast, who's buying it back so quickly when that's over? Same folks (to reduce any nakedness)? Or do the Bots (from anywhere) just detect the selling lull and buy like crazy?
It's a 3x3 pack of engines, wow! Imagine having to access the engine in the centerPre Octaweb layout!
I think you're a bit off on your logic here. The float being tighter post-inclusion, which it obviously is, creates two dynamics:I was going to write a post on this subject today. This may seem like common sense to everyone on the board but I finally realized this last night.
After watching the stock price movement daily for ~4 years, I have come to the conclusion it doesn't matter how good the catalyst or news is (e.g. Q1 2021 results). Especially after S&P500 inclusion, the float is much smaller now than it was back in 2017. Retail investing just doesn't move a 700 billion market cap stock the way it could when TSLA was 50 billion. The MM's are just buying and selling the same pool of artificial shares from each other daily. Until a big whale plugs these numbers into their spreadsheets, we wont significantly move.
@KarenRei tweeted that compared to the end of the first month in Q3 2020, there were 4 ships delivering Tesla // Q42020 = 2 ships // Q1 2021=3 ships , and now for end of first month for Q2 2021 there are 6 ships.
Obviously the FUD scare is to try and prevent FSD from ever turning on at all. So they're trying to anger the public, hoping for a protest no doubt. I could see something develop there, then tie it to an "Uber/Lyft jobs will Vanish" narrative. Volatility ahead.
Partly because of this, I'm considering offloading a bit on Mon. But whatever I let go, some of that needs to get back in the game. That's 2x hard to do, but I'll give it a shot. Maybe 15% or 20% shaving. There will be FSD related dip opportunities in the future I'm sure. I just don't know the baseline yet. What became clear to me the past month is that I am holding too much TSLA and can't buy the dips as well as I'd like.
I think you're a bit off on your logic here. The float being tighter post-inclusion, which it obviously is, creates two dynamics:
1) Yes institutional owners have more shares to robo-sell to themselves and each other to hold down SP rise, but they only do that with the knowledge of where those shares are going and when they'll be coming back. MM's have a ton more shares with which to "manipulate" SP on low volume days, BUT
2) The true float IS FAR TIGHTER than pre-inclusion. When any real buying and selling happens there are far fewer real shares to actually move around. The ease with which we see the SP moved around these last few weeks disappears once any real buying starts. Then the market gets a feel for how many shares are truly available within the float, and the share price MUST be allowed to land where it pleases at any given moment.