The recent slow drop in the SP and the rise in nonsense, lies and FUD from the dying auto companies have forced me to take a long term view of teslas stock. I hold about $4.5m in stock right now.
I do NOT think that wall street, and the average retail investor are ever going to believe anything tesla says, or take any time whatsoever to see through the FUD. They are so conditioned to listen to cnbc and muppets like johnson, that they will just keep assuming the company is overvalued.
Q1 results were astonishingly good, and Q2 are likely to be even better, but I actually do not think this will impact the SP at all. However much we point at pretty much exponential growth, the average joe wont see it, read it, or believe what it implies.
I think the only thing that will convince them is hard numbers, in the past (rear view mirror investing...very dumb).
I predict Q2 results wont move the needle, nor will Q3, even though Q3 may well see some initial production from Berlin (perhaps). I actually think it will be Q4 or maybe even 2022 (with texas & berlin both ramping fast) that will be needed before they care. I think the cybertruck, the semi, will both be seen as 'cool' but wall street will still think nobody is actually buying them in bulk, or consider them to be profitable, until its absolutely clear and obvious.
Until Tesla has sold 10,000 semis and a million model Y,s maybe 100,000 cybertrucks, nobody is going to actually pay attention. They literally are blinded by FUD.
So hang in there. I recommend only checking the stock price every month. Its not going to reach fair value until people actually see the evidence in the financials. Just buy stock, put it in a drawer, and be pleasantly surprised next year. Tesla now cannot go bankrupt, and cannot lose. Its just a matter of waiting for people to realize they have already won. This may take a while.