If nothing else, the past 3 years has demonstrated that the world is perfectly capable of being screwed up in new and creative ways on a rotating basis about once every 6 months. Violence in the capitol, epidemics, wars, economic mayhem, more shutdowns due to epidemic, energy crisis, increasing interest rates, etc etc etc.
Seems like chaos is the new norm.
I still think our money is in the best possible place, but I wouldn't fall in love with any time-frame for recovery. If China has another COVID breakout and big lockdown, that could delay any recovery in the stock by another 3-6 months. Add in PE compression and we could easily be crusing below $250 in 6 months.
Or... COVID breakout doesn't happen, stellar 4th quarter and we revisit ATH in January and keep trucking. Hard to say.