TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker or making a Paypal contribution here: paypal.me/SupportTMC

Tesla3Counter Update

Discussion in 'Model 3' started by flamingoezz, May 12, 2016.

  1. flamingoezz

    flamingoezz Member

    Joined:
    Apr 13, 2016
    Messages:
    145
    Location:
    NJ
    I got an email that they updated their algorithm, presumably due to Elon's accelerated production schedule.

    Elon said in the conference call last week that people should order now if they want to get their car in 2018. I ordered two weeks before that meeting and the site still has me receiving my car Jan 2019.

    Their reservation number for me also changed. They added another 35K reservations before me from their previous estimate. 2 days before I ordered (4/15), totals were announced at 392K. I highly doubt I am 435K with Tesla not officially announcing 400K reservations yet (to my knowledge).

    I think they need some more tweaking on that algorithm...
     
  2. JeffK

    JeffK Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2016
    Messages:
    2,272
    Location:
    Indianapolis
    So you're putting stock into a random webpage with a made up algorithm...?
     
    • Like x 3
  3. CmdrThor

    CmdrThor Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2013
    Messages:
    861
    Location:
    Marietta, GA
    That page must be making a lot on advertising and selling the emails that have been collected. I saw it in a sponsored Facebook post the other day.
     
    • Like x 3
  4. Dan Detweiler

    Dan Detweiler Member

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2016
    Messages:
    384
    Location:
    Canton, Georgia
    Hey there in Marietta...I'm in Canton! You need to let me come check out your Model X sometime.
     
    • Dislike x 1
  5. Whistlerborn

    Whistlerborn New Member

    Joined:
    May 10, 2016
    Messages:
    4
    Location:
    West Vancouver, BC
    If that site's numbers are correct, the behaviour you are seeing may be due to the fact that existing Tesla owners get priority. So as existing Tesla owners put in orders for #Model3, they go to the front of the line thereby pushing non-Tesla owners back...
     
  6. JeffK

    JeffK Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2016
    Messages:
    2,272
    Location:
    Indianapolis
    They do say on their privacy policy they use the info for market research and offers from sponsors.

    Personally, I trust tweets from Elon Musk himself or official Tesla statements instead of random conjecture.
     
  7. CmdrThor

    CmdrThor Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2013
    Messages:
    861
    Location:
    Marietta, GA
    Exactly. I'm not saying they aren't being up front, just pointing out to everyone what the purpose of the site is.
     
  8. ELRev

    ELRev Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2016
    Messages:
    145
    Location:
    Los Angeles, CA
    There's no way the algorithm could be correct if it's based primarily on email receipt time. I camped out in CA and placed by order by 10:03 AM on March 31. I didn't receive my confirmation email, like most others from California, until the following day (4/1), at 2:42 PM. This tracker estimated that I was 181k in line. There were fewer reservations than that at the reveal event. Not even close.
     
  9. dkemme

    dkemme Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2016
    Messages:
    22
    Location:
    Greeley, CO
    I am a previous Tesla owner, email confirmation 4/1 4:50PM. Initial estimate was 37K, second estimate 24K.

    As they never inquired when or how I made my reservation, reserved on line 5 minutes before ordering opened, the estimate must be solely placed on timing of email. I'd love to believe them but they might be placing a bit too much weight on those email times.
     
  10. Tiberius

    Tiberius Member

    Joined:
    Apr 4, 2016
    Messages:
    270
    Location:
    SoCal
    Exactly... I slept on it and reserved mine the morning after the reveal, right as EM tweeted they were at 198k reservations. There's no way I am only 20k reservations behind you.

    Tesla should include chill pills with their tokens of appreciations lol.
     
    • Like x 1
    • Funny x 1
  11. Peanutman85

    Peanutman85 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2016
    Messages:
    9
    Location:
    MA
    My place in line improved a lot with this update. However, it still seems way off to me.

    I'm also curious how they got their estimated delivery date. Elon recently said he thinks everyone that reserved pre-reveal will get their car in 2017, but this says I'll get mine mid 2018
     
  12. Big-T

    Big-T Member

    Joined:
    Sep 14, 2015
    Messages:
    109
    Location:
    Seattle, WA
    Yeah I was in line in the afternoon on the 31st but the confirmation email this is based off of didn't arrive until 3:26pm on the 1st. Clearly I"m in the first 115,000 not number 200,000.....These guys need to change the entry date to the time Tesla charged your CC not the time you got a confirmation email.
     
  13. zenmaster

    zenmaster Member

    Joined:
    Apr 9, 2016
    Messages:
    514
    Location:
    Atlanta
    Why would you base it on confirmation email time, when Tesla uses the actual order time? That makes no sense.
     
    • Like x 1

Share This Page