TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker or making a Paypal contribution here: paypal.me/SupportTMC

Tesla's Future? 200,000 cars/year!

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by Cattledog, Apr 5, 2013.

  1. Cattledog

    Cattledog Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2012
    Messages:
    1,708
    Location:
    San Antonio, TX
  2. Johan

    Johan Took a TSLA bear test. Came back negative.

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2012
    Messages:
    6,890
    Location:
    Drammen, Norway
    Yes please! All while maintaining 25% margin. Something that may be possible if the other big automakers continue their dawdling and keep putting out low volumes of poor BEVs. And of course is there is quick public adoption which I believe we're seeing happening right now, and historically that kind of adaptation when it comes to new technology happens faster and faster for every decade (personal computers took 10 years, internet 5 years, smartphones 3 years etc.).
     
  3. Zzzz...

    Zzzz... Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2012
    Messages:
    867
    Location:
    East Asia/Canada
    Model S outsell Porsche Panamera, for each Panamera sold in US around four Model S sold in Q1 '13...

    But TM need to expand model lineup and go after oversees markets...
     
  4. Zextraterrestrial

    Joined:
    Mar 11, 2010
    Messages:
    3,636
    Location:
    Humboldt/Los Altos
    Mainstream Teslas ~ 2 years it is!
     
  5. vgrinshpun

    vgrinshpun Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2013
    Messages:
    3,875
    Location:
    PA
    Thanks for posting the link. This is first time that I've heard EM alluding to the planned volume of Gen III (presumably in the first year of the production). I read it as EM sees Model S and X at 100K and Gen III starting with 100K in the first full year of the production.
     
  6. jkirkebo

    jkirkebo Model S P85+ VIN 14420 EU

    Joined:
    Jun 13, 2010
    Messages:
    950
    Location:
    Fredrikstad, Norway
    About SuperCharging, some assumptions:

    - SC hardware cost Tesla $500 to install in each car
    - They charge $2000 to enable it
    - They sell 200,000 cars per year
    - 75% of those are sold with SuperCharging enabled (mandatory on some models, options on the rest)

    They will have ($2000*150,000)-($500*200,000)=$200 million dollar PER YEAR to build out and maintain the SuperCharger network.

    That should be enough to build at least 12-1500 new SC stations per year and maintain the current network.

    We might be seeing a lot of those SC stations in a few years ;)

    BTW, some of us Norwegians have been working on a map to see how many SC stations are needed in Norway for an optimal spread. The result was 41. I should have added one more ;)

    Tesla SC foreslåtte lokasjoner i Norge
     
  7. Johan

    Johan Took a TSLA bear test. Came back negative.

    Joined:
    Feb 9, 2012
    Messages:
    6,890
    Location:
    Drammen, Norway
    ... All thanks to the computational power of bistromathics.
     
  8. PopSmith

    PopSmith Saving for a Model 3

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2010
    Messages:
    608
    Location:
    Utah
    #8 PopSmith, Apr 5, 2013
    Last edited: Apr 5, 2013
    I'd just like to add that the Supercharger cost is (or was) $250,000 per station w/4-6 charging ports.
    Tesla Builds $250,000 Fast Chargers for Model S - Businessweek
     
  9. Robert.Boston

    Robert.Boston Model S VIN P01536

    Joined:
    Oct 7, 2011
    Messages:
    7,842
    Location:
    Portland, Maine, USA
    You should post this over in the Tesla Supercharger network thread, too. It's overly dominated by US SC network.
     

Share This Page