Yea - there would necessarily need to be at LEAST a dozen construction permits pulled already for building mega chargers. Nothing I see online shows evidence of that. So what would be the point of a delivery in 2020 towards the end of the year - w/out any infrastructure. Said massive Transformers can't just fall out of the sky. Anybody here of their Construction? Even one?
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I figure the point for all of the early deliveries, will be delivering into the drayage / short haul market, where trucks work out of a central distribution hub. Said hub having the ability to have charging infrastructure installed, and the trucks having the capacity to readily do their out and back work without charging while out.
From other companies and their early deliveries / deployments, these are the same kind of constraints that others are doing initial deliveries and learning under.
From there, I expect Tesla to be the first to define a longer route with charging in the middle, and build a charger along that route for mid-route charging. Sparks to Fremont comes to mind
. Or maybe that's short enough that there's no point - just charge at each end.
So maybe it'll be with some other company as a partnership. E.g. if somebody has a route that goes Boise to Portland and back, that's about 430 miles. With hills and bad weather, I'd want to charge in the middle for going back and forth routinely. So partner with that trucking company (I'm expecting somebody like UPS / FedEx for this), and a truck stop entity, and build that charger that will really only support that one route for that one company initially.
That'll provide the in-the-wild charging experience, and that's also how the mega charger network will expand. Somebody wants to buy trucks for a particular back and forth repetitive route that needs mid-route charging. And in a few years, there will be enough of that to start stitching together a general use charging network.
I'm expecting it'll be more like 5 years than 2 before we see something that looks like a general purpose charging network, that a shipping company or individual operator can rely on for driving most anywhere in the country. There's too big of a market in short haul / drayage, and too big of a build with no demand on the front end.