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Teslas Sold in UK 2014 Q4

Discussion in 'The UK and Ireland' started by martinwinlow, Apr 19, 2015.

  1. martinwinlow

    martinwinlow Member

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    Latest vehicle registration data from HMG is out on their website:- 'Table VEH0128
    Vehicles make and generic model name, Great Britain, quarterly from 1994'

    https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/420353/veh0128.xls

    ~223 MS' were registered in the UK during Q4 of 2014 compared with 282 during Q3 and 191 in Q2 (none before that of course).

    It's a shame all governments don't provide this data (perhaps they do?). But, why do we have to wait nearly 4 months for it? MW
     
  2. J1mbo

    J1mbo Member

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    I am sure the D announcement last year, and killing off the P and P+ (with no D availability until Q3 2015) had no effect on UK sales figures whatsoever....
     
  3. panorman

    panorman Member

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  4. Troy

    Troy Member

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    The data shows end of June (Q2) and it is 1049. Q1 was 905. Quarterly change is 144. Monthly change is 48 units. UK is #9 in Europe. More details here.
     
  5. mgboyes

    mgboyes Member

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    Based on Q3/Q4 it looks like there'll be around 2350 by the end of 2015.
     
  6. Troy

    Troy Member

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    #6 Troy, Oct 6, 2015
    Last edited: Oct 6, 2015
    Did you mean 1350? It 1049 at the end of Q2. Sales were 144 in Q2. That would be 288 estimated sales for Q3+Q4, bringing the total to 1049+288= 1337. The situation is like this:

    Model2015 Q22015 Q12014 Q42014 Q32014 Q2
    TESLA MODEL
    902697474192
    TESLA Model Missing11111
    TESLA MODEL S1046



    TESLA Model Unknown22222
    Vehicles on road1049905700477195
    Sales144205223282195
     
  7. chetalien

    chetalien Member

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    MY GB Rn number is 2502- assume there were 2501 MSs before me
     
  8. gdavison

    gdavison Member

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    Reservation numbers and VINs are assigned randomly via Tesla, there is no way to guess how eitherequate to number of cars made
     
  9. arg

    arg Member

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    Using Q1/Q2 sales to predict Q3/Q4 is completely inappropriate for the situation in the UK: Q1/Q2 sales were very depressed since most people ordering before the 'D' announcement already had their cars delivered by the end of Q4 '14, while many people ordering after the 'D' announcement ordered 'D' models which were not available in RHD until Q3.

    So there's a significant backlog of orders that would normally have been delivered Q1/Q2 but are now expected to be delivered in Q3/Q4, while more recent orders should also be delivered without that extra delay - giving a surge in Q3/Q4.

    I don't have any numbers to predict how big that surge might be.
     
  10. mgboyes

    mgboyes Member

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    #10 mgboyes, Oct 10, 2015
    Last edited: Oct 10, 2015
    No I mean 2350.

    TMUK are currently delivering about 300 cars per month - delivery volumes are through the roof. West Drayton alone is doing 10 per day.

    The delays on the D models basically killed UK deliveries for six months, but now they're catching up on the order backlog.


    This is not the "reservation number" you see on the dashboard. Some clever chap over on speakev.com noticed that if you have a reservation then in the "My Tesla" pages there's a button where you can click to add a 4 year servicing package. And when you click that, at the bottom of service signup page there's a footer that lists your VIN and also a never before seen "GB#XXXX" sequence number.

    Those numbers appear to increment in strict order of reservation (two friends ordered their cars moments apart and their GB# numbers are adjacent).

    My P90D (being delivered in about 3 weeks) is GB#1956 (and I've managed to figure out that my original P85 was GB#365).

    The people who are being told "in time for Christmas" delivery have GB# numbers in the 2300s so I am pretty confident about my end of year guess.

    The current order rate isn't as fast as the current delivery rate though; Q3 and Q4 2015 will be bumper quarters but volumes will fall back a little in early 2016 I'd say.
     
  11. Sirguydo

    Sirguydo Member

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    As the £5000 ev rebate fund is about to run out I'm sure sales will falter for a while but when I tell business associates about getting a model S they all seem very interested when you tell them they can have M5 performance and quality for only £70 a month BIK
     
  12. mgboyes

    mgboyes Member

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    No it's not.

    It's been guaranteed to the end of 2015, and is then being replaced with a new fund which is 99% certain to be at least as generous for zero emissions cars as the current one is.
     
  13. Dan43

    Dan43 Member

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    Thats interesting thanks, will look at this as it comes in.

     
  14. gbjk

    gbjk Member

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    Very cute! Mine is 2013, and I'm expecting delivery around November 13th.
     
  15. blackmonday

    blackmonday Member

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    Min is 2,371 and delivery hasn't been confirmed beyond "January". The original delivery quoted was early November so I'm hoping it doesn't slip more as January will be the 7 month mark from order confirmation.
     
  16. Belly Buster

    Belly Buster Member

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    What is the reason for the long lead time and slip in delivery date?
     
  17. blackmonday

    blackmonday Member

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    No reason has been given. I've asked repeatedly but as with most communications with Tesla since my order was confirmed, I hear mostly silence.

    Just a guess but it may be that Tesla wait until they have a certain number of cars built for UK orders and then ship them at the same time to reduce cost. Or maybe there is something about the specification that has caused a delay due to parts shortage? Until Tesla confirm it's anyone's guess as to why.
     
  18. gbjk

    gbjk Member

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    I'm surprised; I'd have expected december.
    I confirmed middle of June, so I'm getting 5 months.

    Are your details in the google spreadsheet? Model S Order Delivery - Google Sheets
     
  19. mgboyes

    mgboyes Member

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    GB#2519 has apparently just gone into production, so with nearly 10 weeks until the end of the year I'd say it stands a fighting chance of getting delivered in 2015.
     
  20. chetalien

    chetalien Member

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    GB#2502- mine says entered production queue- of course mine is just a poor spec 70d. So not sure how accurate the updates are or for that matter the DSs are.
     

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