@DaveT You had some great predictions in 2014 and 2018 for Tesla in 2020. Both of them were spot on. Kudos to you for that. You are now devoting a lot of time to your very informative Youtube Channel. It would be nice though if you could find some time and take a shot at predicting where Tesla will be in 2025. You would likely provide us with some great insights.
Thanks
@Right_Said_Fred.
Back in 2014, the TSLA 3.0 concept (
Articles/megaposts by DaveT) helped me to see Tesla's potential of reaching their $150b market cap in 2020.
I'm starting to formulate a TSLA 4.0 concept... and that is how autonomous driving will drive sentiment going forward for Tesla and their stock price.
I'm not as giddy as some in terms of how fast I think Robotaxi will roll out, but I do think the market is massive and the opportunity tremendous. It could drive Tesla growth for the next 15+ years.
The big question is when does it rollout and how does it get priced into the stock.
It's just such an ambiguous timeline since it's not completely in Tesla's control. Compare that to the Model 3 rollout... back in 2013, there was decent visibility in terms of timeline and units to be produced.
So many people are tossing out price targets, and I have my own personal price target that aligns more with Elon Musk's incentive plan... $700B+ market cap by 2028 or so... and probably $1 trillion by 2030. But the X factor truly is autonomous driving and how fast it rolls out.
I also have some extensive price projections/forecasts I did from back in 2013/2014... forecasting stock price ranges until 2020, and my high range was $1000 in 2020. I might be releasing those spreadsheets in the near future... if I can be convinced they can be helpful to others.