More 10Q highlights from the bears:
- Model 3 achieved a gross profit only when "excluding non-cash items" like depreciation (8K, "Cash Flow and Liquidity")
- Tesla is not ramping the solar roof production (page 32).
- Tesla acknowledged inquiries by the SEC, the first time they've done so (page 30).
- Tesla significantly added to the risk disclosure around service and logistics (page 48).
- Tesla did NOT adjust prior year revenues with the automotive lease accounting change, which has the effect of making revenue growth look larger than it is (page 8).
- Credit agreement now up 0.49B, from 1.1B to 1.598B in 2018. Total debt up 747M YTD (page 24).
- Tesla expects tax credits in US, Canada, Denmark, Hong Kong and Germany to diminish over next 12 months (page 54).
Lastly, Tesla will need 1.8B in cash by 12/31. They have 2.2B now. Here are the major liability buckets:
- 82.5mm - Related party notes (Aug)
- 230mm - 2.75% converts (Nov)
- 185mm - Solar City term loan (Dec)
- 920mm - 0.25% converts (Mar 2019, but need cash by 12/31 under ABL)
- 400mm - Required 12/31 cash cushion under ABL