Thought I'd give the random update generator a go over on the Tesla website (AKA Chat function). As with all information we get from there, it's probably worth taking with a pinch of salt, but I thought I'd share.
To summarise,
all P's will be on the last ship to depart Shanghai in Q2. i.e None have been shipped yet.
Chat transcript below:
Oliver
Good evening M3P_W8, how can I help today?
M3P_W8
Hello, Please could you let me know if there is any update you can share regarding my order - RN########
M3P_W8
Estimated delivery is still showing as May (as it also is for new orders), but this is feeling unlikely now.
Oliver
Let me take a look for you.
M3P_W8
thank you
Oliver
So it has recently been confirmed that the Performance Model 3's will be on the last vessel of the quarter. Meaning they will be here for mid/late June delivery. The ETA on the website is a little confusing as it is just the soonest delivery for a Model 3. A Long Range Model 3 for example would be May delivery.
Oliver
This is unfortunately later that the ETA we originally had for the Performance cars.
M3P_W8
OK, thank you. So they haven't left Shanghai yet?....presuming my car is coming from China and not the US?
Oliver
All Model 3's for Europe are now build in China, that is correct, the performance Model 3's have not yet departed.
M3P_W8
I don't suppose you can tell me the name of the vessel that will be carrying my car? Trying to find something to keep me busy whilst patiently waiting!...tracking ships seems like fun!
Oliver
haha unfortunately as the cars have not yet been loaded I wouldn't know what vessel they will be on.
M3P_W8
Worth a try!
M3P_W8
thank you for your help
Oliver
My pleasure. have a lovely evening.
This 'mid/late June' delivery estimate does seem to fit the general trend of information flowing from Tesla, so I am inclined to believe it.
For information, over in the shipping thread,
@Mr Miserable estimates the last Q2 ship will depart Shanghai around 15th May.