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Model S+X sales in the US for Jan through May this year total only 15,000, so about 3,000 per month. Also, they seem to think it'll be Q3:
Tesla deliveries are not linear ... they ramp up and peak in the last month of every quarter.
I think Tesla is more than willing to forego short term profits to get long-term customer satisfaction (that being extending the tax incentive by 3 months for their customers).I don’t know if I’m just one of a lucky few, but I am taking delivery of my 3 on Friday.
From the forums on Tesla’s site, I have seen at least a handful of others destined to take delivery this month (mostly with April config dates), leaving me wondering if the estimates are off, if Tesla is willing to deliver 200k this month regardless of the tax incentives, or if I’m just that lucky (unlikely, given my observations)
Why would there be even one cancellation at the announcement of 200k?it would certainly make sense for profit, too, as more cancellations would surely ensue at the announcement of 200k
You may very well be right, and it would certainly make sense for profit, too, as more cancellations would surely ensue at the announcement of 200k. However, it still seems to me as though a fair amount of April configurations are receiving VINS and delivery dates this month.
Again, it is entirely possibly that I, and others like me are a lucky few, or that estimates are off, but if neither of these are correct, it could also be that Tesla is more concerned with the shareholders expectations on deliveries than on the tax credits.
Why would there be even one cancellation at the announcement of 200k?
Splain it to me please.
Tesla still has about 6,000 sales left before hitting 200k - basically the same number of cars they sold in April. I am guessing their June #s will look a lot like April (and they will not have that quarter end surge for Ss & Xs they like to do). It will be less sales than May, but they still will probably have about 3,000 3s this month.
If they do hit 200k this month, I can see cancellations as anyone who recently reserved is in the 4-6 month window puting them squarely in Q4 and the rebate will be $3,750 instead of $7,500 if they delay the 200k to July.
If they do hit 200k this month, I can see cancellations as anyone who recently reserved is in the 4-6 month window puting them squarely in Q4 and the rebate will be $3,750 instead of $7,500 if they delay the 200k to July.
Maybe this was asked....but how will the IRS tell the level of rebate you are entitled to? VIN number? First come first serve? other?
If 200k is hit in June, the full credit will only be available through the end of September. Anyone not expecting delivery prior to then might cancel (particularly those waiting on SR), as the $3,750 difference may be a deal breaker to some.
Thanks. That is more reasonable to say. It’s might and may, not “surely” any more?
Thanks. That is more reasonable to say. It’s might and may, not “surely” any more?
Now that we’re guessing, I guess I disagree, don’t see the logic in such a cancellation in real life. Not immediately upon the announcement of the 200000th US delivery. I guess it’s possible, but not in any numbers over an imperceptible handful. $3,750 reduction of a potential tax credit (not everyone can claim it) which is not claimable until the year following delivery. I dunno, I think reservation holders who have waited this long will figure out how to save up most of that difference in the following 6 months instead of saying “That’s it, I’m out!”
Change my mind. Anyone here actually have that deal breaker?
Opinion Piece In Opinion Section Of TheDrive.com said:To understand why, look to buyer psychology. Even for many people who “could” afford to pay cash for a Model 3, losing out on a $7,500 discount—or even the lesser $3,750—will instantly sour the deal. It’s like being 10 minutes late for the Black Friday sale on flat screen TVs, and finding out you’ll have to pay retail. Be honest:
LOL.
Be honest: it’s not a discount. It’s not a Costco rebate-taken-at-the-register. It’s a credit against tax liability claimable the next year. Everyone pays retail for a Tesla, no exceptions.