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Website wait times for delivery change
- Thread starter Chickenlittle
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chickensevil
Active Member
Vger
Active Member
A close friend had his P85 delivery pushed from late June to August. He was not amused. Then again, I have been trying to get him to commit for two years!
Another anecdotal bit of evidence-- I heard that Tesla had over 2,000 visitors to their Vancouver store this past Saturday alone. Their sales lead volume is almost unmanageable!
Another anecdotal bit of evidence-- I heard that Tesla had over 2,000 visitors to their Vancouver store this past Saturday alone. Their sales lead volume is almost unmanageable!
Vger
Active Member
Well, sort of. We have one confirmed under construction (Squamish, BC), one supposedly permitted (Drummondville, QC) and promises for many more this summer. We are expectantly hoping they deliver this time.
pz1975
Active Member
The US estimated delivery dates moved from October to Late October for S60 and S85, and from Late September to October for P85.
Yes. I believe very significant reflects not only increased demand because of the wait BUT this increasing demand is in light of increased production capacity. I have read in the forums that there is expectation that only one line will run but I remember the increased hiring at the factory over a month ago, there would not have been the need for this if only one line was to run
chickensevil
Active Member
To clarify how they changed the factory (or I suppose are changing, since they are still in the middle of shutdown right now, if I am not mistaken), the new line is being called a "high-speed" line. This new line will by itself up the output to the targeted amount (I believe that was to be 1,000 a week). The old line will remain, but not be used for production cars. They are going to turn this old line into their "test" line for prototype and beta cars. This way they can build these without having to impact the main line.
The continued 4 month wait would indicate that there is indeed higher demand requirements that are not being filled and causing the increased backlog. This is holding, even though one would reasonably assume that coming out of the shutdown they would be running full speed at 1k a week. So, that's a LOT of cars and still a long wait time. Assuming "November" means the first week (so like, the 4th) then coming out of the shutdown next week that is 13 weeks of production, which should be close to 13,000 cars... that, to me, would indicate that the "wait-list" (assuming you take off a healthy 2,000 cars between now and then to use "for other purposes") is sitting at around 11,000 globally. That's a pretty healthy waiting list, if I do say so.
The continued 4 month wait would indicate that there is indeed higher demand requirements that are not being filled and causing the increased backlog. This is holding, even though one would reasonably assume that coming out of the shutdown they would be running full speed at 1k a week. So, that's a LOT of cars and still a long wait time. Assuming "November" means the first week (so like, the 4th) then coming out of the shutdown next week that is 13 weeks of production, which should be close to 13,000 cars... that, to me, would indicate that the "wait-list" (assuming you take off a healthy 2,000 cars between now and then to use "for other purposes") is sitting at around 11,000 globally. That's a pretty healthy waiting list, if I do say so.
What about the "X" factor? 1000 cars/week does not necessarily means just MS'. There is likely to be a percentage of X's that will be produced on this line. Betas will be produced on the old line, but it will eventually either need to be an S and X line, or S/X line, with the old one being further returned to full production or Model 3.
Regardless, I think there will probably be a maximum of 150-400 Model X produced that will be used for Beta, and Showroom Demo. The number is based on the number of showroom Tesla currently have worldwide, which is ~150 showroom, and perhaps 200-250 that will be used for Test Drive.
And if what you think is true, it's even more awesome. X is coming on schedule, no more delays. Can't wait!
Hogfighter
Professional Lurker
Increased demand even in light of increased production. With no advertising.
This steady increase in demand should make Panasonic much more willing to commit to the GF. We need them to step up to the plate in a big way, and soon.
This steady increase in demand should make Panasonic much more willing to commit to the GF. We need them to step up to the plate in a big way, and soon.
Good news re November wait time (sorry, anyone waiting for a car).
I just want to mention in regard to the increased production, we know the plan is for it to go up to 1,000/week by the end of the year, but we do not know that this will begin when production resumes next week. My sense was Sproule said ~ plant shutting down two weeks to allow improvements that will allow production to reach 1,000/week this year. This may well be clarified on Thursday, and if indeed 1,000/week starts next week, that would be quite bullish.
I just want to mention in regard to the increased production, we know the plan is for it to go up to 1,000/week by the end of the year, but we do not know that this will begin when production resumes next week. My sense was Sproule said ~ plant shutting down two weeks to allow improvements that will allow production to reach 1,000/week this year. This may well be clarified on Thursday, and if indeed 1,000/week starts next week, that would be quite bullish.
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