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Anyone following $apha?
Trading along will Tilray due to the upcoming merger. Nice pop in both.
Good point. Market is probably factoring risk of the deal falling through. Potentially a good arbitrage opportunity though.I've been in on APHA for a while and they seem to track each other where APHA is about 65% of TLRY. What I can't figure out is why the relationship between the two is like that given that the merger news stated that APHA shareholders will receive .8381 shares of TLRY. Am I missing something? It seems like APHA is a deal right now relative to TLRY if that is the case.
ENPH has been very nice to me, buying on the way up from $10, still 400% gainIs anyone following the solar stocks? Solaredge, SunPower, First Solar, etc. Most of them had a run after the election, but that has cooled. First Solar didn’t have as much of a run as the others, but I’ve been eyeballing those the past couple days as investable. I’m thinking the new administration will eventually put out some concrete environmental proposals that could benefit these and they are now trading between 12-27% off their highs
Regarding ABML vs. Redwood:
I just finished watching this new The Limiting Factor vid last night (which I find all this stuff fascinating), but it got me thinking and maybe @Xepa777 can chime in with more expertise, but - Alex is saying that Li cannot be extracted without some kind of energy in the process (25:25 mark). I remember hearing JB in a recent interview talk about how his goal at Redwood was to reverse engineer the battery.
So Redwood uses high temp processes vs. ABML to parse out the materials from the battery, but what if Redwood is actually just doing the research NOW for Tesla's extraction process.....
idk...just thinking out loud...
I have a bunch of these renewables: spwr, enph, sedg, fslr, and run. I have been trading in and out for these for years. 20% to 30% and higher spikes have been common with a dip the next day. I turned $100k into $450k trading these over the last 3 or 4 years. Since November 2020, I have decided to hold these long. SPWR is heavily shorted. Historically SPWR goes up a lot just before earnings (2/17) then, like TSLA, even with a decent earnings call, will dip the next day. With our new administration, I'm going to be more conservative with my trading on all these aformentioned, I plan to hold these longer.Is anyone following the solar stocks? Solaredge, SunPower, First Solar, etc. Most of them had a run after the election, but that has cooled. First Solar didn’t have as much of a run as the others, but I’ve been eyeballing those the past couple days as investable. I’m thinking the new administration will eventually put out some concrete environmental proposals that could benefit these and they are now trading between 12-27% off their highs
I've treated this thread as a general "other" stocks thread. It seems there's at least a few others who do the same. If that's not cool, we should start a new thread that's not Tesla/not tech.Are pot companies now considered "tech"?
Gene, as a holder of GP, I'm curious why you don't have that one in your basket. Do you see something you don't like?Other EV related stocks/spacs I'm holding are actc, ciic, eose, nga, kndi, and xpev. Compared to my TSLA holdings I have, these are chump change, but they can be a lot more fun!
I've treated this thread as a general "other" stocks thread. It seems there's at least a few others who do the same. If that's not cool, we should start a new thread that's not Tesla/not tech.
For me, I had actually Proterra and Lion buses on the streets, so I gravitated towards them. Greenpower looks great though. I may just go ahead and buy some shares. Thanks for the recommendation.Gene, as a holder of GP, I'm curious why you don't have that one in your basket. Do you see something you don't like?
Truly amazing arbitrage opportunity between CCIV shares ($32.50) and CCIV warrants ($13.00). Strike price for the warrants is $11.50 so their true value should be $21.00.
I bought a bunch of warrants and sold the same amount (in shares) of calls. I pocketed some credit ($1.75 per warrant) and if the SP end up below my call strikes on expiration (August), I basically get all those warrants for free. If the SP goes above my call strikes, then I exercise the warrants to pay off the sold calls and make an extra $26 per share (my average strike price on the calls is $37.50). The only risk is that I can't exercise the warrants when I want as I have to wait until Sept. 18, 2021 or 30 days after a merger (whichever is later) to exercise them. I plan to roll the sold calls out from August as needed to avoid a margin call (I'd be forced to sell the warrants and lose some of my profit) if CCIV keeps going way up. This is truly an amazing very low risk opportunity.
Somehow I got out of that SPAC meme with a 45% gain rofl!My God Hindenberg just eviscerated Clover! Almost Nikola-level omg. Brutal. Savage. Clover Health: How the “King of SPACs” Lured Retail Investors Into a Broken Business Facing an Active, Undisclosed DOJ Investigation
As someone who works in a healthcare insurer, I will say I've always preferred Oscar over Clover when referencing new-age players
Shh... Let it fall... Bring it back to $100 so I can write some Puts to finance my sharesUnity Software (U) was body-slammed AH tonight because their forward guidance was below expectations.
Might be the last opportunity to ever get shares this cheap. IMO, a major "buy the dip" opportunity.
Sitting at $134.00 AH on Feb 4, 2020.
I appreciate the advice and I did consider that scenario. I figure the only way CCIV moons is if a well-received merger is announced. Then I can sell the warrants right away or exercise the warrants 30 days later and sell the shares, then close out the new short position from the exercised calls. I’d still end up with profit because the warrants would go up similarly to the share price.Be careful with this strategy... The same thing happened previously with $QS, $NKLA etc. There's a reason that warrants are underpriced:
Basically the market is saying the common shares are too expensive and cannot last.
Unfortunately, when you are short commons, you might get those early exercised: Eg. if $CCIV moons to $120, someone will exercise those calls and you'll be short 100-commons. This is _fine_ in normal circumstances, but if $CCIV goes to $100+ I suspect _many_ people will be trying to short. Which means you'll have to pay borrow fees (probably 100%+) for maintaining that short position. You'll either have to close out the position as a loss, or, end up with risk you didn't calculate previously.
Be careful.