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What will the TSLA share price be at closing December 30th 2016?

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by Yggdrasill, Dec 31, 2015.

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What will the TSLA share price be at closing December 30th 2016?

  1. <100

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. 100-125

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. 125-150

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. 150-175

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. 175-200

    2 vote(s)
    2.9%
  6. 200-225

    1 vote(s)
    1.4%
  7. 225-250

    2 vote(s)
    2.9%
  8. 250-275

    1 vote(s)
    1.4%
  9. 275-300

    11 vote(s)
    15.9%
  10. 300-325

    20 vote(s)
    29.0%
  11. 325-350

    7 vote(s)
    10.1%
  12. 350-375

    12 vote(s)
    17.4%
  13. 375-400

    6 vote(s)
    8.7%
  14. >400

    4 vote(s)
    5.8%
  15. I have no clue

    3 vote(s)
    4.3%
  1. Yggdrasill

    Yggdrasill Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 29, 2012
    Messages:
    2,540
    Location:
    Kongsberg, Norway
    I think we have a very exciting year ahead of us, due to many reasons:

    - Model X ramp-up
    - Tesla becomes cash flow positive
    - Model 3 reveal
    - Tesla Energy ramp-up
    - Gigafactory cell production
    - Oil price recovery?

    And I think TSLA will do very well this year as a result. I would be surprised if we don't see the share price go over 300 this year, so I'm betting on 318.27 USD per share at closing on friday the 30th of December. :)
     
  2. SebastianR

    SebastianR Member

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2013
    Messages:
    465
    Location:
    Denmark
    I agree with you, however I'm slightly more conservative. I know for a fact it will be 298.37 USD.
    (Of course I have no clue - but where would be the fun?)

    Reasoning:
    - Gigafactory will experience slower ramp than hoped
    - A delay announced for Model 3
    - Countries will start axing EV incentives
    - At least one legacy car maker is starting to make a compelling electric car (<- take this statement as indicator that I'm a hopeless delusional optimist!)
     
  3. heltok

    heltok Member

    Joined:
    Aug 12, 2014
    Messages:
    12
    Location:
    Sweden
    It seems obvious that the price will be $240.01 and that everyone in 2015 was correct all along.
     
  4. esk8mw

    esk8mw Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2015
    Messages:
    1,072
    Location:
    Midwest
  5. flankspeed8

    flankspeed8 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 19, 2014
    Messages:
    645
    Location:
    Vermillion, MN
    My guess would be -$300 which would be about $20 above the ATH.
     
  6. Thumper

    Thumper Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2011
    Messages:
    581
    Location:
    Corvallis, OR
    I agree with all the points made by Yggdrasil. I would vote higher but we will be nearing the 200K limit which marks the end of Fed subsidies. So $314.58.
     
  7. adiggs

    adiggs Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 25, 2012
    Messages:
    1,352
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    Keep in mind the 200k limit is US total deliveries - not worldwide total deliveries. The US EV incentive will go well past '16 for Tesla. Even when the 200k "limit" is reached, that just marks the start of a timer for the full incentive, and then a series of quarters with reducing incentives (I think it phases out for each company over 1 year once they reach the 200k threshold for US deliveries).

    I DO believe that the incentive as currently written will be coming to a close for Tesla not long after Model 3 launch.
     

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