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When Will AP2 Fleet Hit Elon's Several Hundred Million Mile Goal?

Discussion in 'Model S' started by croman, Feb 28, 2017.

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When Will Tesla's AP2 Fleet Obtain Sufficient Fleetwide Mileage to Enable Advanced AP Features?

  1. A. April 2017

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. B. June 2017

    4 vote(s)
    30.8%
  3. C. September 2017

    6 vote(s)
    46.2%
  4. D. Jan 2018 or Beyond

    3 vote(s)
    23.1%
  1. croman

    croman Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,531
    Location:
    Chicago, IL
    As we AP2 owners are aware, AP2 is in beta and hasn't even achieved parity with AP1's features, much less parity in performance. Local autosteer will cross double yellow lines on turns and upon activation it will "hunt" for the center of the lane in a manner reminiscent of a drunk driver attempting to steer straight. Highway autosteer is limited to 50mph and rife with phantom FCW braking incidents where the car will rapidly decelerate thinking an overhead highway sign or metal overpass is an imminent and likely threat to the vehicle (phantom braking).

    Elon has stated that after several hundred million miles Tesla will have enough data to feed its AI to start embarking on "Enhanced" autopilot and eventually Full Self Driving. This poll only focuses on "enhanced" autopilot features (please no discussion of AP1's promises and how they haven't materialized).

    Currently it seems like there are 38k AP2 vehicles delivered. 23k of those were delivered in Q4 2016. I've driven 3k miles since Dec 23 delivery. Assuming a fleetwide average of 1500 miles, that results in 57M miles. Given they keep delivering AP2 vehicles every week and people have to drive, when will Tesla have enough data to feel confident to proceed with the post-parity phase of EAP?
     

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