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When will the number of Model S on the road exceed Roadsters?

Discussion in 'Model S: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by bonnie, Dec 12, 2012.

  1. bonnie

    bonnie Oil is for sissies.

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    We must be close to Model S drivers outnumbering Roadster drivers. Approx 2400 Roadsters delivered .... anyone want to take a guess as to when Model S is the dominant Tesla vehicle on the road?
     
  2. mnx

    mnx 2013 P85

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    I was thinking about that the other day. What was the delivery target for 2012? 3k? I imagine Model S > Roadster sometime this month. Dec 24th is my WAG.
     
  3. Jaff

    Jaff Active Member

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    RRRRRight about now................mark....:wink::biggrin:
     
  4. mnx

    mnx 2013 P85

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    Giving it more thought I'd say it already is the dominant vehicle on the road in the US.

    Many of the 2400 were sold in Europe/Canada/Asia, and some are garage queens. With >1500 on the road already in the US it is likely the dominant vehicle already.

    As of Dec 23rd, Model S will be the dominant Tesla on the road in Canada as well.
     
  5. ClearwaterBchSteve

    ClearwaterBchSteve P445 / VIN 1794

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    It's gotta be soon - there are Model S VINSs > 2400. The deliveries happening now seem to be in the VIN ranges of 15nn - 18nn so it's likely a couple of weeks until Model S's take over the road.
     
  6. richkae

    richkae VIN587

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    Will we have a month soon where the Model S "outsells" the Nissan Leaf or Chevy Volt?
    ~1600 might do it.
     
  7. mnx

    mnx 2013 P85

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    You bet. If it doesn't happen this month, January/Feb is a sure bet. (Especially since typical auto sales would lag in those months and Tesla will be pushing out cars at full speed).
     
  8. Discoducky

    Discoducky Active Member

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    That would be a great headline: "Tesla's $100K electric car outsells all others in December!"

    But since TM doesn't release sales numbers we may never have a public figure to coo over.
     
  9. ElSupreme

    ElSupreme Model S 03182

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    I have a feeling they might once their factory is producing cars at a 'stable' rate. It would not be good information to release during startup or building cars by hand. But it is something I feel they will start to do once they get their production all streamlined (maybe Q2 of 2013)
     
  10. bonnie

    bonnie Oil is for sissies.

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    Ohhhhh you. :) Always there with the facts.

    (+1, I'll bet you're right.)
     
  11. dsmith2189

    dsmith2189 Active Member

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    A quick check of timdorr's delivery spreadsheet shows a max VIN of 2499.
     
  12. Vger

    Vger Active Member

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    I think that is correct. There are only 47 Roadsters in Canada, so Model S's will dominate after the first day or two of delivery events in Toronto and Vancouver (supposed to be Dec. 20,21,22).
     
  13. Jaff

    Jaff Active Member

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    I've been told 57 in Canada, but it's moot as the Model S will eclipse the Roadster totals in short order...
     
  14. ChrisC

    ChrisC see signature

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    I wouldn't be so sure. The Volt was selling at a 1700-2900 monthly rate until November's dip to 1500. Whether that's a trend or aberration (GM claims the latter of course) remains to be seen. But GM has been selling the Volt pretty reliably at 2000-3000 for about a year and that probably won't change much. Tesla might snipe a win one month, but until they get their production rate well over 20K/year it won't be a regular occurrence.

    Oh, I forgot about the Leaf. Yeah, the Model S will stomp that :) Note that Leaf sales are picking up, and with widely anticipated improved price and range in the 2013 Leaf (to be announced any day now) those sales should pick up even more.

    So you may be right, January will be the Model S's shot at glory!

    Back on topic, I remember when we (in the Volt community) noted the moment that Volts on the road surpassed the Roadster. Similar to the Model S now, it was a couple months after the Dec 2010 launch.
     

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