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When will we have a Basic Minimum Income?

When will we (The US) have a Basic Minimum income?

  • Never. Have you seen Elysium? Yeah... get ready.

    Votes: 76 53.9%
  • ~5 years

    Votes: 5 3.5%
  • ~10 years

    Votes: 6 4.3%
  • ~20 years

    Votes: 27 19.1%
  • ~40 years

    Votes: 17 12.1%
  • >100 years

    Votes: 10 7.1%

  • Total voters
    141
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Stockton to research UBI
3 years ago, Stockton, California, was bankrupt. Now it's trying out a basic income.

Tubbs is particularly well-suited to be the policy’s champion. Upon winning the mayoral election last year, he became both Stockton’s first black mayor and, at 26, the youngest mayor of a city of more than 100,000 people in American history. Tubbs cites as his inspiration Martin Luther King Jr., who called for a guaranteed minimum income in his last book, Where Do We Go From Here: Chaos or Community?, as well as his own experience “growing up in poverty and seeing how much of some of the stress came from trying to stretch dollars to pay for necessities, like bills or school uniforms. When things came up unexpectedly it would cause a lot of hardships.”

“The stress isn’t because people don’t have character,” Tubbs adds. “It’s because people don’t have cash.”

LoL. I know a bunch of poor people who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to put food on the table at times. They all have cellphones, Xbox's, computers and TV's though.
 
It was a joke, hence the 2 smilies.

If you want a more serious response: I have mixed feelings about the idea. On one hand I don't like the idea of limiting the number of children people can have (ala China), OTOH I don't want us following the path of 'Idiocracy' (horribly movie/comedy -- based in the future when all the educated people stopped reproducing and all the dumb people had more and more children... sort of where we're headed now anyways)

Well, Idiocracy exaggerated just a tad.

The difference in the average number of children is less than 0.6 children between Bachelor mothers (1.9) and high-school dropouts (2.45). High-school grads have averaged 2.19. It's postgraduates that have the starkest difference, averaging only 1.01.

Assuming zero mobility in educational attainment, with current data (using Pew and Census data), then it'd take about 4 generations until postgrads dropped below 1% , 19 generations until bachelors dropped below 1% of the population, and 56 generations until high-school graduates dropped below 1%.

Of course, since in reality there _is_ mobility in educational attainment, and given the trend for IQ to _increase_ the Idiocracy scenario is really not going to happen. Rather like BMI. :p
 
  • Informative
Reactions: Max*
Throughout history, the rich people in charge have constantly been afraid that the poor (and foreigners, people of color, etc.) would take over the world, leaving the rich people without their privilege. Most recently, the rise of white nationalists/supremacists in the US is the latest manifestation of this fear. The largest experiment of this nature in recent history was the Nazi regime which promoted the idea of Aryan superiority and actively went about demonizing and exterminating jews, foreigners and other marginalized populations.

Idiocracy lays the blame at the feet of an undeserved target (the poor) while implicitly advocating a terrible solution (eugenics). The movie’s underlying premise is a fundamentally dangerous and backwards way to understand the world... but I assume that is par for the course in today's world.
From a review: "We’re frustrated by the world, believing that encouraging smarter people to breed would somehow fix our problems. But it simply isn’t so. It’s a distraction from the institutional problems of our society. The problem isn’t that stupid people (again, read: poor) are having too many children. The problem is that we aren’t living up to the ideals and promises we’ve given to each generation of Americans that have come before us. A livable wage, paid maternity leave, proper funding of scientific research — these are the things a functional, civilized society are built upon; the ways that we can improve our world. "

There is lots of social science to dispute the premise of Idiocracy but that doesn't stop the simplistic parroting of the movie's premise. Unfortunately, the discussion here on UBI has mirrored this with some people regularly disparaging the poor with broad insults and others trying to provide a rational, science based perspective. I don't expect this discussion to provide much enlightenment (and it's rather discouraging).
 
Idiocracy lays the blame at the feet of an undeserved target (the poor) while implicitly advocating a terrible solution (eugenics). The movie’s underlying premise is a fundamentally dangerous and backwards way to understand the world... but I assume that is par for the course in today's world.
Are we talking about the same movie? My takeaway was completely different.
 
Throughout history, the rich people in charge have constantly been afraid that the poor (and foreigners, people of color, etc.) would take over the world, leaving the rich people without their privilege. Most recently, the rise of white nationalists/supremacists in the US is the latest manifestation of this fear. The largest experiment of this nature in recent history was the Nazi regime which promoted the idea of Aryan superiority and actively went about demonizing and exterminating jews, foreigners and other marginalized populations.

Idiocracy lays the blame at the feet of an undeserved target (the poor) while implicitly advocating a terrible solution (eugenics). The movie’s underlying premise is a fundamentally dangerous and backwards way to understand the world... but I assume that is par for the course in today's world.
From a review: "We’re frustrated by the world, believing that encouraging smarter people to breed would somehow fix our problems. But it simply isn’t so. It’s a distraction from the institutional problems of our society. The problem isn’t that stupid people (again, read: poor) are having too many children. The problem is that we aren’t living up to the ideals and promises we’ve given to each generation of Americans that have come before us. A livable wage, paid maternity leave, proper funding of scientific research — these are the things a functional, civilized society are built upon; the ways that we can improve our world. "

There is lots of social science to dispute the premise of Idiocracy but that doesn't stop the simplistic parroting of the movie's premise. Unfortunately, the discussion here on UBI has mirrored this with some people regularly disparaging the poor with broad insults and others trying to provide a rational, science based perspective. I don't expect this discussion to provide much enlightenment (and it's rather discouraging).

The idiocy in parroting the movie is that it simply assumes a lack of social and educational mobility. That's the flawed assumption.
 
Throughout history, the rich people in charge have constantly been afraid that the poor (and foreigners, people of color, etc.) would take over the world, leaving the rich people without their privilege. Most recently, the rise of white nationalists/supremacists in the US is the latest manifestation of this fear. The largest experiment of this nature in recent history was the Nazi regime which promoted the idea of Aryan superiority and actively went about demonizing and exterminating jews, foreigners and other marginalized populations.


I was wondering how long it would take before someone "blamed all the white people". Page 47, now I know.
 
  • Funny
Reactions: Max*

From what I've seen, you can give people access to a free and exemplary education and they will take little advantage of it.

Both my kids went to middle school and one goes to high school in some of the poorest neighborhoods in my area. We have magnet schools here that get Masters and PHD's in education as teachers, funding far beyond what you'd get in my middle class neighborhood and access to programs that you usually see in college. The middle school my kids went to had an aviation science program. They had a NASA simulator and the kids left the program knowing enough to pass the FAA exam. There were also engineering, pre-med and numerous other programs that could put any kid on a path to a great career. Busing from anywhere in the county is provided and anyone can go to the school. The kids who are zoned for this school would come from the surrounding neighborhood which is predominantly poor and black. The magnet middle school has a matching high school so if you went to say the Engineering Magnet Middle School, when you graduated you could progress to an Engineering Magnet HIgh School. There are also magnet schools for other disciplines such as Finance, International Business, etc.. It's not just STEM. Most of the high schools have a dual enrollment program so you can earn college credit while taking classes in high school.

The majority of the kids in magnet programs at these schools come from middle to upper middle neighborhoods, not the surrounding neighborhoods. To me it clearly shows that providing opportunity isn't working. The problem originates at home. Again, my wife is a teacher so this is something that routinely gets hammered into me. If the parents aren't deeply involved with the child and instilling in them the seriousness of an education then all the money and services aren't going to make any difference.
 
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