Humm, Not sure I'm following you here. The Mitsubishi Zuba series has been tested at over 200% efficiency (i.e. COP greater than 2.0) at -15F or -26C. I personally own a Fujitsu 15RLS2 heatpump that has around 1.5-1.6 COP at -4F or -20C
The Lennox XP25 is listed at 2.28 @ 17F or -8.3C. And this is the actual COP of the installed docked system.
There are a couple of easily available options on the market right now with COP > 1.5 at very low temps.
Heat pumps right now have the same problem as EV's do to most people now. "That will never work! It's tiny and slow and has no range!"
Also, as far as I've seen, increasing COP/low temp operation takes no technological breakthroughs. They just keep increasing the size/capacity of the exterior coils. Slightly increased initial cost for better operating capacity/efficiency.