I bought into, and still believe in, the promise of a Tesla for the masses. And me, I'm the masses. I really, really want an electric car. A 35k Tesla is just (barely) within reason for my finances. The other electrics don't appeal like a Tesla. Not at all.
But then my '04 Prius, best car I've ever owned, started calling for maintenance I wasn't willing to invest in at 172k.
And the math, it just doesn't lie. The farther away the ever-receding Tesla delivery date, the less rebate there will be. Put with that the fact that, after rebates and Toyota's aggressive moves to get rid of 2017 cars, the cost of my new Prius Prime got down to $16k. So we're talking probably $10-15k less than the M3. That is one major chunk of change to a lot of people, including me.
The EV mode range of the Prime is nothing major. But the overall mileage with regular charging becomes ridiculously high. It became really hard to justify waiting around for a Tesla. $10-15k will buy an awful lot of other things. Heck, maybe I'll finally get that vintage Gretsch guitar AND a car.
Thing is, the Prius Prime, which clearly has Tesla nods all over the place, is a really great car. It's some stiff competition for the ecology-minded buyer without a trust fund. Tesla is going to have more competition than it thinks.
I hope, like crazy, that by the time I'm ready to relinquish the Prius Prime, there's a Tesla that fits my needs and my budget. Because I'll still be rooting for it, and hoping there's one with my name on it. And I hope all of you who are waiting are rewarded in a big way when you finally get an M3. I'll be jealous.
I'm in the similar boat as you. '05 Prius, 220K+ miles. Hi PriusChat folks.
I've already paid the maintenance: inverter pump, water-pump, MAP sensor (factory), spark-plugs (factory @ 210K+), front-brakes (factory @ ~175K+), rear-brakes (factory @ 210K+), O2 + catalytic-converter. Need to replace the master-window-switch as one of the rear windows thinks it's closed -- even when open.
I have the original TRD Sportivo suspension. Shocks are still fine.
Switch this out for a Prius Prime? Well, not with Toyota's anemic efforts toward a real BEV. Switching to lithium batteries from NiMH also
reduced the trunk space? What is Toyota smoking? Can't even be bothered to bring the 7-seater Prius V to the USA, wth.
Therefore, I would now be a prime Tesla 3 candidate. However, I refuse to get on the waiting list for anything that's:
- basically sight-unseen
- first-gen (I have a 3rd gen only rule after getting burned too many times by 1st gen bugs and deficiencies)
- manufacturing constrained
- battery-constrained (still waiting on my PowerWall!)
- basically has no rebates at this point after the waiting list
- only just launching the long-range battery
- only just launching dual-drive system
- threw out years of touch-ergonomics wisdom and experience. Instead has a dangerous control-panel that recently would lock one out of the glove-compartment in a crash
- so on.
I've looked at the Volt, Bolt, Ioniq, e-Golf, etc. Took measurements of their trunks too. V/Bolt: too heavy, ugly styling, internally cramped. e-Golf: not enough range even with their new upcoming battery. Leaf-2: maybe, but the "finished" version isn't out until 2019ish ..
So I'm perfectly happy using my current beater for commuting while I wait another few years for things to finally settle and get polished.
For the gear heads, my commute is mix of freeways, long winding roads, and hills. I'm fine blowing by most cars (that aren't trying hard): on 270° uphill turns; don't bother getting on the freeway at @ closer to 70+ mph; can't take 90° turns at speed into an uphill fast enough to wake up traction-control but not engage it, etc. There's advantages to going 100% on a lower-power car, it's more fun and less dangerous. 0-60 mph @ 10s is underrated when most people don't even bother taking advantage of their 0-60 mph in < 8s.
So whenever Tesla, or somebody else decides to get their issues sorted, then I'll buy in. Meantime, dumped the waiting money into a bigger PV installation as that actually pays for itself after purchase.