During my early-summer car shopping that culminated in buying a LRAWD / no FSD MY, I was looking for a medium size S/CUV that I’m planning to keep for at least six years (i.e., somewhere between 60-80 thousand miles minimum). I won’t go into details of my requirements, but I think they were reasonable for my family. When I started shopping, a Tesla wasn’t even on my radar. In the end, the main competitor to the MY was the Audi Q5; I also looked at the Q3 and the Mazda CX-5, but neither had the back seat legroom I required. Having good quickness was a key requirement, and surprisingly enough, that ruled out a lot of vehicles in the medium sized C/SUV market.
The Q5 and MY are comparable in price, especially when the EV incentives are considered. The Q5 is quite a nice vehicle, arguably a step up from the MY in luxury terms; unfortunately, I’m quite familiar with the maintenance requirements and costs that come with that class of vehicle. Audi does not have any complimentary service; you can buy discounts on scheduled service, but it’s still not cheap, and you can count on a full brake job every 35,000 to 40,000 miles, at about $2000 a pop. The transmission service, which I believe is also every 40,000 miles, will also run several hundred dollars at least. On the Tesla side, three really isn’t scheduled maintenance per se; there’s tire rotation and replacement and brake fluid changes, but with good use of regen braking, I’d expect the brakes on the MY to last at least twice as long as on the Q5. Advantage Tesla, unless it turns out to be unreliable outside of the warranty period. My rough estimate is that, over six years, the MY comes out ahead on required maintenance by about $4000.
As far as fuel costs go: I haven’t seen premium (which the Audi requires) going for less than $3.40 per gallon around here, even in the depths of the gas price cuts. And it will go back up. But for sake of argument, let’s say it stabilizes at $3.50 per gallon in coastal SoCal. Home recharging is $0.09 per kWh with a $16/month service fee. Assuming 1000 miles per month at 280 kWh per mile (what I’ve been getting), and 95% of the time I can recharge at home and a Supercharger for the rest, and my pre-Tesla electricity use wouldn’t cover the $16 per month fee, then my “fuel” costs for the MY per month is about $44 per month, or $525 per year. In a real-world mix on 80% city / 20% highway, the Q5 will get about 22 mi/gal at best, so that’s $160 per month or just over $1900 per year, so over six years, I’m saving $8300 on fuel.
Other costs - insurance, registration, and consumables like tires - are pretty much a wash. If I subtract the $1200 for the HPWC and its installation, then I’m looking at about a $10,000 difference in TCO between the MY and the Q5 over my six-year timeframe. Even if I only realize half of that, it’s nothing to sneeze at. Yes, the comparison would have been different if I could have chosen a cheaper ICE car than the Q5 to compare against the MY, but I couldn’t find one that would meet my requirements. YMMV of course, but doesn’t it always?