Will prices drop soon?

[kengchang]

Maybe when Elon moved to Mars.

If it's like S/X, Tesla might just force bundle PUP on the LR for 3K and it probably won't be a long time

 

[ℬête Noire]

So ya. It’s going to be the next corolla / civic in terms of sales once people understand electric.

The $35K base price, even after the much lower operating costs, makes this the Camry. The Gen 4 ('22 or '23) with it's targeted $20K bottom end (or whoever nails that sort of design successfully and manufactures at scale, as you say) is the Corolla/Civic.

I've got the odds of at least 90% of [US] new light duty vehicle unit sales being plug-in EV by 2025 at around %35 (1 in 3), and the odds of it happening by 2029 at around 85% (only 1 in 6 that it doesn't by that point), and I expect hybrids to be a relatively small and shrinking share of that as the economics of battery price drops continue to squeeze on the cost of including any sort of ICE.