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Will Tesla's Model 3 Compete? Thoughtful design analysis by Randy Carlson. Positive!


Active Member
Supporting Member
Nov 24, 2015
Buffalo, NY
I was able to read the whole article without registering. When I clicked to go to the 2nd page I just hit the escape key to stop loading the page before the popup appeared. The rest of the article can be read just by scrolling down. You don't have to click to get to subsequent pages.

Jeff N

Active Member
Oct 31, 2011
The article was fun to read but it didn't strike me as being realistic. He assumes the base model will weigh about 3,100 pounds which is 500 pounds more than a BMW i3 yet it will be 37% more efficient than the i3 and will get 170 MPGe. Even that weight estimate is very optimistic since Tesla has hinted that they will use substantial steel to save on manufacturing costs and the BMW uses extensive carbon fiber to save weight that Tesla likely will not use. A higher weight and a more realistic MPGe means using a battery bigger than 44 kWh to keep the 220 mile range and that means using more of the floor pan which means that his plan for lowering the seats no longer works etc. etc. He's made best case assumptions everywhere in his model.

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