The 400 mile range will certainly be possible at a slower speed. Note that Tesla's blog post about that Roadster 3.0 trip said: "On the highway, we set cruise control to stay right around the speed limit. " For that particular trip that would have been 65 mph. I suspect that at 60mph 400 miles of range would be likely. Of course, in the U.S. at least, no Roadster owner wants to go 60 mph on a freeway or open highway.
Also, an EPA test of a Roadster 3.0 could quite possibly result in a 400 mile range rating, or very close to it.
This is Tesla - you have to parse each word carefully. For instance, "right
around the speed limit" - I bolded the operative word: 60 is "around" 65. Hwy 5 has some 70 MPH limit sections, but I wouldn't be surprised if they kept the speed at 60.
As for the EPA, the EPA test has changed since Roadster was first sold (from 2-cycles back then to 5-cycles somewhere near 2012). The 245 EPA range of 2008 would not be the 2015 EPA range. Tesla itself believes
it achieved a 2-cycle EPA range of 320 miles for Model S (85kWh, 2WD) back in 2012. But, the 5-cycle test resulted in only 265 miles. So, you need to multiply by about 0.83 to get the current EPA range rating. That means Roadster would have a current day EPA range of about 203 miles. Tesla says the new battery range is about 35% better, so that's an EPA range of 275 miles.
If you think about the aerodynamic changes needed to bump overall efficiency by 10% just to get to 300 miles, you'll realize that it isn't just a new nose. They'll need to do something about the roll bar/rear window drop-off (which creates eddies) and the rear wing. Even the mirrors would have to change. So, what happens to rear visibility, compatibility with the hard top, etc.?
So, the EPA rating for Roadster 3.0 will certainly be under 300 miles. Even if aerodynamic and wheel bearing changes come (and they'll cost extra $$), that will maybe get it to 300 miles. And 400 miles is a 25MPH non-practical possibility. Yeck.
All in all, this is very disappointing for Roadster owners: more expensive, and less range than we were told by Elon. The only good thing is that Tesla isn't completely forgetting us.
I'm sad.